Ethiopia's future situation is urgent
December 10, 2020 09:35 Source: "Journal of Social Sciences" 2020, December 10, 2066 Author: Huangyan Mai Jingyi

November 28, 2020,The federal army led by Ethiopian Prime Minister Abby entered the northern Terra State Prefecture Murdo Town,The Ethiopian Ethiopia, which lasted nearly a month temporarily announced,But the leader Tigre tribe against the Federal Government's Togre People's Liberation Front (hereinafter referred to as "Titan") did not announce the surrender,The situation in Ethiopia needs to be further stabilized。

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Ethiopia is an ancient country located in East Africa,The economy is relatively backward。1991 The Ethiopian People's Revolution Democratic Front (hereinafter referred to as "Egyptian Crane") integrated the Amhara National Democracy Movement、Oroomo People's Democratic Organization、"Picking up" and Southern State People's Democratic Front several major ethnic groups,Overthile Monsterto regime。Meles Zevina from Tiglei as the chairman of the "Elege" and the Prime Minister of the Government,Leading Ethiopia embarked on a road of "developing democratic countries"。

Melais insists on economic development,He hopes to combine the development model of the East with the democratic system in the West。"Elege Ban" draws on East Asia's industrialization experience,Vigorously attract foreign investment,Big improvement of infrastructure,Relying on the industrial park to develop export -oriented manufacturing industry。Ethiopia has achieved an average annual growth bet365 best casino games rate of GDP for more than ten consecutive years since 2004,In 2016, it surpassed Kenya and jumped into East Africa's largest economy。Export -oriented industrialization brings a lot of employment opportunities,As of 2019,Industrial Park, which has nearly 30 operations or under construction in Ethiopia。Messles wants to copy China's successful experience,Vigorously develop the manufacturing industry to solve employment problems,He himself in 1996、Visit China in 2003 and 2011,Ethiopia became a veritable African economy at that time。2012,After the sudden death of Merces,His ruling route continues from Premier Haier Mariam from Southern Prefecture。In 2018, Prime Minister Abby came to power to further improve the business environment,Especially in corporate reform, there are good results。The new investment method promulgated by the country in 2019 has relaxed the restrictions on the private sector,Open Telecom、Logistics、Sugar -made industries that have been monopolized by the administrative department for many years。

  Ethnic contradictions need to be eased

Ethiopia has more than 80 ethnic groups,Amhara (AMHARA) and Tigray account for 30%and 8% of the total population, respectively,Two ethnic history has always lived in the national power center,Orto Mo (Ooromo), which accounts for 40%of the country's population, has been on the edge of the political territory。After World War II,Haier Celasi Emperor's rule and Mengstu military regime implemented assimilation policies for the Oro Mo people。"Er Ge Zhe" after governance,Meles establishes a federal state and the Bet365 lotto review establishment of a governing alliance,Promote "Unity of respect for diversity"。The Constitution of 1996 stipulates that Ethiopia implements the "Federal Federal -based Federal System",Divide local states with ethnic groups,Autonomy of local states of all ethnic groups,Keep your language、text and customs,Ethnic and local states are also given the right to self -determination separated from the country。"Ericsson" is considered to have too strong Tig Lei national colors。Prime Minister Abi attaches great importance to the balance of national interests and national unity,But the reality is that all ethnic groups believe that they have encountered oppression and injustice during the development of the country,Ethnic contradictions have become the biggest obstacles to develop Ethiopia's development。

At the end of 2015,Siyaba, the capital of Ethiopia, opened the urban expansion plan。Asia Beta's geographical location is very special,Located in the area of ​​Oroomo,Urban expansion will invade the land in Oroomo。The protest of the Oromo people expands from land acquisition to the marginalization of political status,This turmoil has caused many casualties,Destroy of property houses。October 2016 Ethiopia announced its entry into the state of emergency state,It was not lifted until August 2017。Activity of protests in February 2018 is intensified,The protesters require the government to stop imprisonment of Oromo opposition,Most people in the latter are charged with "terrorism" or "incite violence"。protest directly leads to the resignation of Prime Minister Mariam,Abi from Oroomo has been bet365 Play online games in power since April 2018。

What is different from the governance of Merces Prime Minister who is committed to promoting economic transformation is,Abi proposed the slogan of "unity",Call for the peaceful coexistence of the people of all ethnic groups across the country。But Oromo people have great expectations for Prime Minister Abi of the same family,I hope he can follow the concept of "Oroomo first" and "Oroomo first"。Abi slowly racial friction、The mild route that promotes national reconciliation is unbearable for Oroomo nationalists who are constantly rising national emotions。Less than a hundred days after taking office,Abi was suffocated by the grenade of the "Olympic Solutions" grenades; October 2018,Abi was assassinated when visiting the capital slums。

November 20, 2019,Three major political parties in Ethiopia leave the "Ethiopian",It is announced that the "Er Guanfan Governance Alliance" that has been formed by Meles and maintained for more than 30 years will no longer exist。The newly established prosperous party replaces the "Emperor Ge formation" as the ruling party,This move has led to a long -term "people's array" that leads Ethiopian politics gradually marginalized。"Picking up" attacks the establishment of the prosperous party and does not follow the legal procedure and must not participate in the 2020 election,and publicly declare that fighting with the prosperous party to the end。Due to the epidemic cause,Federal Parliament decided to delay the election of the original plan to be held in August,"Picking up" quickly make provocative response,Unilaterally decided to hold a regional bet365 Play online games election in Tig Leizhou in August,Special Forces controlled by "Tuen Corps" hold a military parade in many major cities in Tig Lei Prefecture,The relationship between the federal government and the "mention of people" is increasingly deteriorated。

The contradiction between the federal government of Abi and the "mention of people" was finally upgraded to a comprehensive military confrontation on November 4th,The Federal Army blocked Tig Lei Prefecture and launched a multi -round air strike,Every day, refugees fled to Sudan。Another,Border blockade caused rescuers and supplies to be unable to enter,International Organization estimates that Tig Leizhou may have a terrible humanitarian crisis because of this。November 28,The Federal Army enters the town of Merkella and regains control,But "Picking up" just withdrew from Merkella,Still controlling a lot of towns in Tig Lei,The end of the civil war is still hanging and unsure。

other,Except for the armed conflict between the federal government and the "lifelike array",The rising Oroomo nationalist also brought challenges to the federal government。June 29, 2020,The famous singer of the Oro Mo nationality Hadhamu was shot and shot by an unknown person in the capital,The aroused Avoo nationalist set off a large range of race and religious riots。Some riots are targeted to kill the residents of the non -Oro Mo people,Burning their houses and churches,Nearly a hundred people were killed in riots。Abi government has accused these oppositions attempting to use the Harchantu storm to overthrow the current regime,Subsequent,The government has dealt bet365 best casino games with the situation accordingly。

  Esseur returns to the development of the right development

The riots caused by ethnic problems in 2015 have also shocked the industrial park in Ethiopia,Dozens of foreign factories and plantations across the country have been incinerated and destroyed。The cause of the protest caused by workers includes the deterioration of labor conditions and low wages.。More critical is,Ethiopia's political situation has led to the rising protest for the Oroomo people,Most industrial parks are near the capital,Workers are mainly Oro Mo people,The heating of nationalism has triggered a protest from workers。Labu Town, La Boshi in the suburbs of the capital,Oroomo workers in an industrial park launched a three -month strike。

Because of the epidemic,Some industrial parks in Ethiopia are forced to stop working and discontinued,Exit bliss,Workers' unemployment。The epidemic continues until the end of 2020,The total export of Ethiopia may drop 24.3%。The economic recession brings poverty and further intensify,The foreign debt in Ethiopia in the past few years has increased significantly,The total external liabilities exceeded 24 billion US dollars,International Monetary Fund rating Ethiopian debt risk rating from "medium" to "higher",I believe that there is a higher risk and "debt crisis"。War and epidemic is a severe challenge to Ethiopia's economic development。Whether Ethiopia can return to the positive track of development in the future,It has to explore the governance method that meets the national conditions and in order to alleviate the national contradictions of the country。

  (Author Unit: School of Public Management of South China University of Technology)

Editor in charge: Zhang Yueying
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