The order of the Indo -Pacific region of the post -epidemic era and its transcendence
November 11, 2021 09:24 Source: "China Social Sciences", November 11, 2021, Issue 2285, Issue 2285

The short -term impact effect of the global new crown pneumonia epidemic on the world is decreasing,But in the long run, it has catalyzed the evolution of existing international structure。As the strength of China and the United States pulls closer,Expansion of the gap between the two countries and other major countries in the world,The original international pattern is accelerating the evolution。According to data from the International Monetary Fund,Before the epidemic occurred, the Chinese economy was 63%of the United States,Now it has surpassed 70%of the US economic scale。Correspondingly,China and the United States are not only in the industry、Economic and Trade、The contradictions in the field of technology and other material levels are frequent,Competition in the field of development models and external governance models has also been put on the agenda,The latter further exacerbated the conflict between the concepts of Western countries such as China and the United States。In the post -epidemic era,The United States is trying to create the order of the Indo -Pacific region that isolated China。

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The focus of competition in the world today is no longer the military confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union during Bet365 app download the Cold War and the military reserve competition based on nuclear deterrence,It is difficult for the United States to integrate its Asia -Pacific Allied formation system and target China。China is deeply involved in international division of labor in the economic globalization system dominated by the United States,between Chinese and Western may face local industry decourse,But it is impossible to completely decapable,Form two parallel economic systems。Sino,Although the ideological confrontation in the values ​​field is weakened,But China is still regarded by the United States as the "opponent" in the competition of traditional great powers。In the Indo -Pacific area,The game between China and the United States presents new features。

First,The United States tries to draw a large country in the Indo -Pacific region to check and balance China。Under the background of global epidemic and competition between China and the United States,The big country and the United States and Western allies with regional competitive relationships with China have appeared on the side of the selection station。Although there is no formation of confrontation between political groups and the situation of consistent isolation between political groups in the Indo -Pacific region,However。Among the three major areas around China,The Central Asian region under the coordination of China and Russia has become the most prominent surrounding China with cooperation、Areas with relatively stable situation。East Asia is the core strategic area of ​​US bet365 Play online games security influence radiation,All military allies around China are concentrated in the area,Main military strategic deployment is also concentrated here。The United States is still integrated in Japan in the Indo -Pacific region、Australia's two Asia -Pacific important allies,At the same time, India, an Indian, a major country that is also a newly rising country with China,Try to create a group of political ecology dominated by the great country zero and game。Out of the cognition of structural contradictions in the China -India region and zero -sum game perspective,and the intensification of Sino -US trade friction,India chooses to cooperate with the United States for China,Make South Asia, a major strategic competition in China,,Strategic linkage with the main strategic direction of this Chinese surrounding China in East Asia。

Next,Acceleration of the Industrial Supply Chain Reconstruction of the Industrial Supply Chain in the Indo -Pacific Region。Economic and trade frictions between China and the United States before the global epidemic occurred,The United States consciously opens the process of decoupling with China's economy。At the same time,Facing Western countries such as the United States in core technologies and other fields to China's "card neck",China has also begun to actively reduce the vulnerable dependence on the global production value chain led by the United States。The post -epidemic era,Japan、India and other major powers have also begun to "de -China" for their concerns about the security issues of supply chain,The process bet365 live casino games of re -forming the production value chain in the Indo -Pacific area is also accelerating。This means that the economic dependence relationship between China and the United States and Western countries may further decrease。

Last,In the field of values,Sino -US development and governance models have increased。The Bayeng government in the United States continues to emphasize that regional cooperation must be based on the relationship between "common and similar values ​​or partners",Try to bundle the security and ideological security and ideology of the Indo -Pacific region。In modern history of the world,China is the first one who does not follow the Western development model,and its political system、Religious beliefs、Organization and governance methods are completely different,But independently develops and expands to become a sample of a world economic country。The rise of China has broken the myth of the Western development model's uniqueness and universal nature。One aspect,China has achieved great economic success and demonstration effects; on the other hand,,Governance model with Chinese characteristics is when facing the public safety crisis of the new crown pneumonia,shows more powerful organizations and management capabilities than the Western world。This model has an impact on the theory of Western Civilization Center and the only theory of Western roads,Worries the United States and other Western countries。

  The possibility that transcends the order of the Indo -Pacific region

Although facing various challenges,But China's significant achievements Bet365 app download in surrounding diplomacy have created space for China to surpass the Indo -Pacific region order trap that China is trying to create。In recent years,Especially since the global epidemic occurs,Except for Western allies in the United States and a major country with regional structural contradictions with China,Other neighboring countries in China have more tendency to maintain neutrality between China and the United States than previous years,Unwilling to choose the side station,Including the non -Western alliance Thailand in the United States、The Philippine and the Salmonies Singapore,All tend to maintain and develop a stable relationship with China。In the context of globalization and regional integration,,"Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement" (RCEP) signing against the trend signing the establishment of the world's largest free trade zone,Among them, the most active promotion force is China and ASEAN。Display of polls most of the neighboring countries in China,Its folk society takes a positive attitude towards China for the response to China,In particular, the role of China in the regional supply chain in the post -epidemic era,Obvious willingness to promote bilateral and regional economic cooperation。

Current,Competition of Chinese and Western governance models,More and more attention to the focus of attention in neighboring countries,The key depends on which governance mode brings more confidence to these countries in maintaining the stability and development of the area。The United States gradually loses the willingness and ability bet365 best casino games to provide public products in the Indo -Pacific region,Focus on manufacturing and boosting chaos in the safety field,Create regional trade organizations and rules that exclude China in the economic field。But,In the post -epidemic era,Most countries in the Indo -Pacific area are increasingly concerned about how to recover the economy and break through the bottleneck of the country,Need China to drive the regional economy、Fill in regional governance absence,Therefore, tend to maintain and develop a stable relationship with China。China wants to break through the United States' containment and lock,It is necessary to replace the group's political ecology that the United States is currently promoted in the field of Indo -Pacific security。Can it surpass the post -epidemic era and order in the Indo -Pacific area,Depending on whether China can play a role in a larger share of the terminal market in the process of Indo -Pacific Industrial Chain,3412_3430,and the main supplier of becoming non -traditional and economic public products in the region,Make a decisive contribution to regional stability and prosperity。

  (The author is deputy director of the Latin American Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences、Researcher)

  

Editor in charge: Zhang Yueying
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