Liu Debin, Director bet365 apuestas Institute of International Relations, Jilin University、Founding Dean bet365 apuestas School of Public Diplomacy、Professor of History and International Relations;
Research direction: History of bet365 apuestas and Theory of bet365 apuestas、Contemporary international political transformation、Soft power and public diplomacy;
Representative works: "Historical Path of International Relations Research" and "History of International Relations" (Editor-in-Chief)、"The Biography of Mrs. Thatcher" and "American bet365 apuestas Strategy"。
Current,The bet365 apuestas is undergoing major changes unseen in a century,Not only changes the balance of power between Western and non-Western countries,And it has also shaken the historical foundation that supports the bet365 apuestas dominance of Western countries,That is, the bet365 apuestas system characterized by "center-periphery"。However,The rise of non-Western countries will not repeat the old path of Western countries seeking bet365 apuestas hegemony,But to go beyond the East、The historical limits of the West,Reconstructing the human civilization system,Promote human society towards a community with a shared future。
A century of bet365 apuestas have collapsedThe material basis of civilizational divisions
About the bet365 apuestas’s major changes unseen in a century,Western scholars have many studies and judgments。Among them,The most representative one is “the rise of the other”,That is, it is believed that bet365 apuestas history is entering after "the rise of the West" and "the rise of the United States",The new stage of “the rise of the other”。The concept of “other” very clearly expresses the mentality of Western countries as the “masters” of the bet365 apuestas。This mentality was formed in the 17th to 19th centuries,Believe that Western countries are "I" in this bet365 apuestas,Non-Western countries and regions are different from “me”,The “other” regulated by “me”。End of 19th century,Western countries establish dominance over the non-Western bet365 apuestas。Despite the first experience、bet365 apuestas War II、The Cold War and the constant impact of the “Third bet365 apuestas Revolution”,This one is "centered" on Western countries、The bet365 apuestas system in which non-Western countries are “peripheral” has not disintegrated。Until 30 years after the end of the Cold War,A number of non-Western powers have emerged one after another,More emerging market countries integrate into the bet365 apuestas system,Changed the power ratio and dependence model of the "center" and even the entire system,The bet365 apuestas dominance of Western countries has truly encountered challenges and crises。
Actually,The "West" and the "East" are constantly changing in history。If we trace the source,Many elements of what we call "Western Civilization" actually originated in the "East" in North Africa and the Middle East,Most of the ancient civilizations in human history originated from the geographical Eastern bet365 apuestas。Rise in the West、Before becoming the dominant force in the bet365 apuestas,The bet365 apuestas is an "Orientalized" bet365 apuestas。As an academic concept,“The Orient” is the “other” imagined and constructed by Westerners for their own needs,Its scope of reference gradually extends from the Eastern Mediterranean to India and East Asia。The original and most enduring core part of the “West” is what is now Western Europe,Only as European countries began to colonize the bet365 apuestas,its inner east、The Western distinction is only beginning to decline in importance,“Europe” gradually becomes synonymous with the West。After bet365 apuestas War II,The United States, which has always avoided falling into European disputes, has become the leader of the West,The formation of "the West" in the modern sense。The Cold War after bet365 apuestas War II created an "East-West" dispute marked by the competition between two social systems,Oriental countries in the original sense constitute an important part of the "Third bet365 apuestas"。End of the Cold War,The bet365 apuestas seems to have returned to its true nature as "the West and the Rest",However, historical changes in the bet365 apuestas system structure have changed the material basis of the original distinction between Western and non-Western civilizations,For deeper exchanges between Western and non-Western civilizations、Collision、Compare、Learning and integration create new favorable opportunities。Actually,Many Western scholars have long pointed out,As the “secret” of successful modernization in Western countries spreads、The loosening of relations between Europe and the United States and the rise of non-Western countries, etc.,The West is “over”。
The possibility of reconstructing the bet365 apuestas system
First,The bet365 apuestas is experiencing the most serious turmoil in international relations since the Cold War,The “clash of civilizations” seems to be intensifying。Resurgence of conflict between major powers,Almost all countries are encountering the "sudden" international economy、The impact of the deteriorating political and security situation,No one can make a clear judgment on the outcome of this "great upheaval",But the “expansion” of countries at the center of the bet365 apuestas system,And the formation of interdependent relationships between the center and peripheral countries has laid a new foundation for the establishment of more equal and mutually beneficial relationships。The United States is an important source of this "great turmoil",At the same time, he wants to use this "great upheaval" to reconstruct the Western camp,Thus reestablishing the United States’ dominant position in the bet365 apuestas,It is destined to be unworkable。
Secondly,The in-depth development of economic globalization after the Cold War has not only promoted the arrival of major changes in the bet365 apuestas that have not been seen in a century,And it has also changed the existing economic and social structure of almost all countries to a great extent,And put forward new and higher requirements for the country’s governance。In Western countries,Especially in the United States,The gap between rich and poor has widened again,Shrinking middle class,Political polarization and fragmentation have become a “new normal”,“Democratic politics” has almost “failed” under the impact of populism and manipulation by extreme politicians。Whether it is the "American model" that pursues efficiency first,Still pursuing the “Rhine Model” of social justice,Everything needs to change。In the non-Western bet365 apuestas,Whether it is the emerging "developed" countries that have successfully achieved modernization in recent years,Still a “developing” country still on the road to modernization,We are all facing the historic challenge of improving the national governance model under the new situation,This has laid a new foundation for the expansion of consensus space in Western and non-Western countries。
Finally,Environment、Climate、Energy、Grain、The emergence of global issues such as population and the COVID-19 pandemic,It more closely links the destiny of human society,No one can survive the increasingly serious global crisis alone。The development of global issues is linked to global changes,Driving human society to transcend the boundaries between "center" and "periphery",Build a new bet365 apuestas system based on the common destiny of human society。
Strive to build a community with a shared future for mankind
However,Currently,It is still difficult for leaders of Western countries to get rid of the "me" mentality that dominates the bet365 apuestas,Still regards non-Western countries as “others” who need to be enlightened,Still trying to "regulate" this changed bet365 apuestas according to Western "civilization standards" or "new civilization standards",Reseparate the worlds that have been "converged"。This kind of approach ignores reality,Not only does it not help Western countries get rid of the increasing gap between rich and poor、Shrinking middle class、The dilemma of polarized social contradictions,It also puts growing emerging market countries and fragile countries still in trouble into a more difficult situation,At the same time, it also causes ecological imbalance、Climate warming、The solution to global problems such as population structure distortion and globalization of epidemic diseases has made matters worse。
The bet365 apuestas’s major changes unseen in a century are not only reshaping the balance of power between Western and non-Western countries,And it is also reshaping the global civilization system。This civilization system is based on the new bet365 apuestas reality,No longer has the function of "center" educating "periphery",No longer reject the successful experiences of non-Western countries,No longer limited to the East、Western either/or,But it is based on the premise of shaping values that are respected by people all over the bet365 apuestas,Beyond East、Western Limits,Strive to build a community with a shared future for mankind。
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