Current,The complex network relationship and interdependence deepening of the diverse behavior under globalization,It is impossible to avoid the risk,The new type of security and governance ecology of "coexisting with risks" becomes a trend。The Global Risk and Political Analysis Laboratory established by Peking University is committed to passing theory、Data and technological innovation development problem -oriented research,The combination of measurement as the risk of objective existence and response as the risk of political cause and consequences,Seeking the security strategy of countries and individuals in the global risk era,Improve the effectiveness of global risk governance and adaptability to risks,and refine the new theory from practice to promote international relations、National Security Studies and State Discipline Construction。
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In terms of concept,The premise of "coexist with risks" is to re -understand the risk。First,Risk is based on uncertainty,In addition to increasing negative costs,It may also lead to new value creation and benefits。Next,"Riskification" can become a means to deal with uncertainty,Variables that will affect through relatively comprehensive coverage,The analysis and early warning will be prefixed,So as to improve the comprehensive performance Bet365 lotto review of governance。again,Risk not only has the characteristics of globalization,There is also a political trend,Analysis and evaluation of risks needs to be considered political elements。Especially under the situation of complex changes in the international situation,Power and political attributes of traditional security are intertwined with non -traditional security interests and political logic intertwined in parallel,Need to use the unified logic of comprehensive security to re -calculate、Tracking and predicting risks。Last,"Coexist with Risks",Dynamic concepts that need to be developed from development and change understand risks。Selection of content,Requirement of risk research is not only a scientific process using scientific and technological paradigms,It is also a social and political process containing a social and political paradigm。In terms of measurement logic,"Coexisting with Risks" means that observation and thinking about risks not only concentrate on static presentation and analysis of risk facts,It also needs to include the definition of risks at different periods、In attribution and governance,The complete process of combining science and technology elements and political elements。
On the basis of re -understanding the risk,You need to further study changes in governance methods,That is the question of how to coexist with risks。Where,The introduction of the concept of "toughness" into the safety and governance research based on risk -axis is a new attempt。"Toughness" refers to the adaptive ability of the governance system Bet365 lotto review when evaluating the risk。Toughness assessment is highly adapted to risk analysis of multiple changes and uncertainty,It is both a research object to evaluate the ability of governance,It is also an important indicator of risk and security research。Toughness analysis is very important for both public and private sectors,Especially the international situation has changed in recent years,Public Health Challenge at the Global Governance level、Economic crisis、Frequently predictable and unpredictable events caused by natural disasters,The perspective of "governance toughness" provides a reliable analysis path for the existing conditions and possible changes in the current complex international environment.,It has also become one of the core factors that affect global governance cooperation and international order change in the post -epidemic era。
"Risk" intervention's toughness assessment
The tough evaluation of the global risk and political analysis laboratory of Peking University involves how to deal with the challenge、Uncertainty and mode of effective recovery from various forms of pressure, etc.。Research team is committed to identifying potential impact (risk change),Understand what challenges or interference may face in understanding the governance system。Based on this,The team carried out tough evaluation work,The core is to analyze the core elements of determining toughness under different governance issues (such as governance basis、Governance target、governance method, etc.)。This link is also an important part of empirical innovation,Research team bet365 Play online games comprehensively uses data and calculation methods to identify、Monitoring、Finding and Forecast,and the toughness index of reasonably evaluated the specific topic design。Last,Analysis of the research team's strategy of responding。According to the sequence of the impact of crisis and the response to governance,Toughness assessment is divided into advance、Analysis of and after -to -the -after analysis。Analysis of the corresponding analysis is risk prevention,It is to design the challenges and changes that may occur in the future into the framework of the governance system or the organizational structure,Calculate the risk of impact on crisis from the beginning。Analysis of the current existence of impact or security threats,The focus is on the impact of the impact of the tissue before and after the organization。The core of the strategy of response at this stage is to strengthen the ability to adapt to the structure or behavior body,Enhance its own toughness。Afterwards, tough analysis focuses on summing up experience,Provides reference for the design and toughness indicator design of similar problems。Above the policy design and crisis response,By analyzing toughness, it can improve the integrity of the entire risk management process、Adaptability and feasibility。
Toughness analysis provides a new perspective for risk and security research,Understand security from the perspective of maintenance and optimization governance,Emphasize the importance of adaptability and survival ability in risks。Take climate problems as an example,Climate security is one of the most important bet365 best casino games issues in the current international community。The tough analysis of climate governance focuses on responding to the global economic downturn、Strategic competition in the country intensifies、Frequent geopolitical conflicts and other circumstances,Whether the existing governance mechanism can continue to operate and develop effectively,Whether the multilateral climate governance framework based on cooperation and negotiations will be impacted and other questions。The tough assessment of its governance mechanism is both a prerequisite for thinking about facing crisis and possible risk points,It will also directly affect the overall performance of climate safety。
Promote the cutting -edge disciplinary exploration
The above concept of the assessment of toughness、Methods and methods reflects the research ideas of Peking University Global Risk and Political Analysis Laboratory。The laboratory is relying on "people",Interdisciplinary properties based on risk research,Dedicated to promote multidisciplinary collaboration、cutting -edge exploration,Encourage scholars to use innovative methods and cross -disciplinary advantages,Promote the cutting -edge development of the field of risk research。In terms of research content,Laboratory coordinates the areas of traditional security and non -traditional safety areas,Strive for global risk and political theory、Data method and calculation、National security and geopolitical risks、Economic and Sustainable Development Risk、Ocean security risks and other aspects Exploration,Efforts to produce a number of Bet365 lotto review Chinese characteristics、Theoretical and applied results of the world influence,Deliven to become global risk recognition、International platform for monitoring and management。The relevant achievements that have been completed have the perspective of political economics,Study the 桎梏 and inequality facing the development of the new energy market in the emerging economy,Analyze the logic behind the industrial competition and trade conflict in the energy transformation of developed economies and emerging economies,and the cause of the risk rise in this field in recent years; pay attention to policy space conflict in global trade politics,The relationship between the policy tools committed by combing the national level and the rules of the international system,Interaction for national governance and global governance、Provide new theoretical interpretation of conflicts and borders。Laboratory and some scholars continue to pay attention to the risks of global supply chains and its risks that are intertwined with geopolitical、The causes and influence of the politicia and political movement of Western countries,Pay attention to international law research that is both risk governance and at the same time as risk sources,and cutting -edge issues such as risks and political psychology and emotions。other,Issues around the field of traditional security,The laboratory focuses on tracking the impact of technological innovation on traditional military security。
(The author is a researcher at the School of International Relations of Peking University)
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