Coordinate bet365 Play online games the aging of the population and the improvement of labor productivity
September 16, 2020 08:38 Source: "China Social Sciences" September 16, 2020 Total 2012 Author: Li Jingbo

Realize high -quality economic development,Must persist in quality first、Efficiency Priority。Different economic development methods that were pursued in the past in the past,The high -quality development stage will pursue efficiency in the first place,The key to transition from speed to beneficial type is the increase in labor productivity。

Population as the basic nature of socio -economic development、Strategic、Long -term factor,Not only the means of economic growth,and play a vital role in different aspects of society and economy。Starting from the Population Change Practice of my country,Population aging is the structural consequences of population transformation。Under the background of the continuous deepening and irreversible basic population of population,Especially in a new period of promoting high -quality economic development,Clarifying the impact of population aging on economic development is the key to actively responding to population aging。

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Population aging is the structural characteristics of population transformation at low fertility level,It is an inevitable result of the change of population in the background of continuous low fertility。According to international judgment rules,my country has entered a population aging society from around 2000,Its characteristics are in the following aspects。First,my country is the country with the largest population in the world。2019,The size of the elderly population 65 and above bet365 live casino games in my country is 1760.3 billion people,higher than other countries in the same period。Second,my country's population aging is low,But the development speed is extremely fast。2000-2019,my country's population aging has increased rapidly from 7%to 12.6%,Data prediction according to the world's population output,The experience of our country from entering aging society to deep aging society is shorter than France、Italy、Portugal、American and other countries,Close to Japan。Not only that,Due to the area of ​​population change and urban and rural differences,my country's population aging manifestations are urban and rural inversion,presents that the developed areas are smaller than underdeveloped areas、The development characteristics of the east smaller than the west and other regions。Generally speaking,my country will continue at the stage of population aging and continue to deepen,Deep aging movement。

During the deepening of population aging,my country's labor productivity is at low absolute quantity、The growth rate is faster、The development stage of the regional gap is constantly narrowing。Calculating price in 2011,2019,my country's labor productivity level is $ 32002/person,This level is far lower than that of developed economies in the world。At the same time,2001-2019,my country's labor productivity growth rate is much higher than the world average,between 6.2%and 13.6%。2019,my country's labor productivity growth rate is Luxembourg、United States、Germany、France、10.2 times the growth rate of Japan、3.4 times、6.2 times、12.4 times、5.2 times。Visible,The gap between labor productivity between my country and the world's developed economies bet365 Play online games has gradually narrowed。At the same time,my country East、Middle、The gap between labor productivity in the western region has also shifted to a year -on -year trend,Internal convergence phenomenon is obvious。Continuous optimization with the economic structure,Human capital has steadily improved,Innovative development drive,In the future, my country's labor productivity will still have room for rise。

  Population aging affect labor productivity

Elderly population is a manifestation of aging of the age structure,Age itself does not act on labor productivity,During the economic development process,Population aging uses indirect effects on labor productivity through intermediate links。

Labor productivity measures the level of output of unit labor,When the population aging is at a lower level,Aging of age structure will further slow down the growth rate of the population scale。At the same time,With bet365 Play online games the aging of the population, it continues to deepen,Labor has become a relatively scarce production resource,Education and training investment increased increased labor productivity。and,The return rate of material capital is constantly declining,The return rate of human capital continues to rise,Labor supply reduction reduces the marginal productivity of labor force。

In the initial stage of population aging,The overflow of human capital to the negative production effect that the population aging may bring,Compared to young labor,Gathering skills of a certain percentage of elderly population、Experience is more beneficial to the improvement of labor productivity。This stage,Labor productivity improvement and the scale of the population of labor age are reduced overlap。

With the development of society,The degree bet365 live casino games of aging population intensifies,When the fertility rate is low, the level is stable and continues or even decreases,Population development is "low increase、High deceleration "stage,What accompanies bet365 Play online games the aging of the population is inevitable that the size of the labor age population is atrophy and the aging of labor。On the one hand,Labor age population is an important means of production in the production link,The reduction in the share of the labor age will slow down the speed of economic growth,Not conducive to economic growth。On the other hand,The aging of labor age structure is gradually prominent,The atrophy and depreciation related to aging -related skills lead to the degeneration of human capital。

Skills innovation and innovation development of modern production has gradually abandoned the technical skills depreciation of labor -intensive skills,and the skill of the labor market mutation impact aging labor,As a result of the decline in the value of the elderly's human resources and the depreciation of economic skills,Leading bet365 Play online games the aging of the population to produce negative labor production effects。

  Coordinating population aging and labor productivity with technological progress

Start from the production link,Population aging through technical progress、Pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency pathway affect labor productivity。Underestimal between the aging of population and labor productivity,Need to start from innovation,Actively coordinate with technological progress。

First,Improve production efficiency with technological progress。Although the traditional population dividend is gradually disappearing,But the fact that the huge laborer scale in my country still exists in the potential bet365 Play online games opportunities of the number of population dividends,The great improvement of the comprehensive quality of the population has gradually matured the foundation of the quality of quality population。The improvement of the comprehensive quality of the population allows the labor force to gradually gather from the labor -intensive industry to the technology -intensive industry。In the case of specific production resources,Technological progress improves the output efficiency of unit production,This will help increase labor productivity。While bet365 Play online games the aging of the population becomes an inevitable trend,Education investment and industrial structure transformation improves the production promotion effect of technological progress。

Next,Improve pure technical efficiency,Accelerate the technical update speed and effectiveness of technical promotion。my country's patent application volume is at the forefront of the world,But the patent implementation rate is low。2019,Invention patent application volume is 4.38 million pieces,Patent implementation rate is 55.4%,Professional industrialization rate is 38.6%。Patent maintenance period is also significantly lower than other countries in the world,It has maintained a valid invention patent for more than 10 years in China, which is only 5.5%,and the world average as high as 26.1%。The patent can only be applied to the production process,can be converted into effective production factors,Give play to the promotion effect of production。But currently the effectiveness of my country's technological promotion is low,This leads to the influence of population aging on labor productivity on the conduction mechanism of pure technical efficiency.Bet365 lotto review ,In the future, it should pay enough attention。

Last,Give full play to the role of economy in improving labor productivity。Under the condition of specific production technology,Election investment growth forms a scale economy,Effectively reduce the average total cost,to increase the total output,Expand the scale effect。scale efficiency does not take extensive expansion of production scale,Instead of pursuing the optimal economic efficiency,Implement the best Pareto。Under the circumstance where the population aging is deepened,Market regulation and policy orientation start to pay attention to technological innovation,It aims to reverse the unsustainable and inefficiency of the incomplete economic growth,Gradually change to innovative growth。At the level of technical level without changing、Under the conditions of capital and human capital,The scale of the economy can be flat and suppressed some production costs,to improve the unit's labor output。

Although my country's capital investment explains most of the economic growth,But labor productivity is the long -term driving force for high -quality economic development。Changes in economic growth trends and development mode changes,In the final analysis, it is the change of labor productivity。With the change of the age structure of the labor force,Population aging, in addition to directly affecting labor production efficiency,It will also indirectly affect labor productivity through other channels of social production。So,Accurately grasping the impact of population aging on labor productivity has practical significance。To achieve the sustainable development of the Chinese economy,Actively coordinate the relationship between bet365 Play online games the aging of the population and the improvement of labor productivity。

 (Author Unit: School of Labor and Economics, University of Economics and Trade University)

Editor in charge: Wang Ning
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