Expand domestic demand to cope with global value chain reconstruction
March 08, 2023 09:26 Source: "Chinese Social Sciences" March 8, 2023 Total 2605 Author: Pan An

Since the 1980s,New international division of labor system characterized by global value chain division gradually forms,After nearly 40 years of sustainable development。From 2008 to the present,Available in the international financial crisis、Sino -US economic and trade friction、A series of international events such as the new crown epidemic,Global Value Chain Reconstruction Trends gradually appears,It has formed severe challenges to many countries including China,。When facing the impact of the international financial crisis and the new crown epidemic,The Party Central Committee has formulated targeted measures around "expanding domestic demand"。How to rectify Bet365 app download the global value chain by expanding domestic demand to reconstruct the global value chain。

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China is a strong supporter of Bet365 app download the global value chain division and physical department,It is also the beneficiary who actively participates in division of labor。According to statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics,From 2001 to 2008, the international financial crisis broke out in 2008,The total import and export of Chinese goods increased from US $ 509.65 billion to 2563.26 billion US dollars,average annual growth rate of 25.96%; even since the global financial crisis,2009-2020 average growth rate shrinks,but also reached 7.02%。Differences of the average annual growth rate of cargo trade in two periods,Related to the expansion of the basis of the trade scale,It is also closely related to the external environment restructured global value chain。Current,Global Value Chain Reconstruction mainly presents localization、Regionalization、Diversified development trends,There are many realistic challenges to China's industry and even economic development。

First,Global value chain shrinkage in the localization trend,Manufacturing back to the high -end upgrade。One of the movements of Bet365 app download the global value chain reconstruction is the appeal from developed countries,The purpose includes solving the problem of hollowization of internal industries、Inhibit the development and rise of other developing countries。Take the United States as an example,After the outbreak of the international financial crisis in 2008,The U.S. government proposed the "re -industrialization" strategy,Tax discount、Improve infrastructure and other measures to attract the return of manufacturing; the "Chip and Science Act", "Aflation Act Act" issued in 2022,The target lies in attracting the return of the electric vehicle manufacturing industry,Involved in local batteries、Core links such as chip manufacturing and vehicle production。Advanced manufacturing backflow for developed countries,undoubtedly break the original stable global value chain division system,intentionally hinder China and other developing countries in developing countries in the manufacturing industry, high -end upgrade。

Next,Regionalized trend Value chain expansion is limited,The division of labor model solidification and constraint efficiency improves。Since the WTO,With the dual ascension of the engineering degree and status of Bet365 app download the global value chain,China becomes the United States、The core country of the third regional value chain outside Germany。Where,United States、Germany dominates North American value chain、European value chain,China is the core of the Asian value chain。The value chain of the three major regions is difficult to be replaced in a short period of time,will cause the division of labor in the region,To a certain extent, it is not conducive to the relationship between the value chain division of the value chain outside the region,further influence the further improvement of the efficiency of division of labor。The actual division of labor in the global value chain gradually reduces,Coupled with the frequent wave of sanctions in individual countries,The advantage of seeking optimal production links worldwide is difficult to play,The problem of inefficientness of global Bet365 app download resource allocation needs to be paid attention to。

Last,Under the trend of diversified trends, value chain division of labor inside,The uncertainty of the supply chain of the industrial chain increases。One of the major features of global value chain division of labor is that cross -border division of labor collaboration,The "broken chain" caused by any division of labor is the risk that has to be faced。For this,It is necessary to ensure that more division of labor links are alternative,Comprehensive consideration of production cost,The internal volume phenomenon of the division of labor chain is naturally generated。The challenge caused includes: one,The advantage of labor costs gradually lost,Low -end division of labor is facing structural adjustment between other developing countries。Its two,Disadvantages in key core technologies,It may become an important chip for other countries to restrict some developing countries,Supply chain of the industrial chain will also be threatened。

  Clarify the theoretical connection of expanding domestic demand and value chain reconstruction 

Facing a big change in the world for a century,China actively implements the strategy of expanding domestic demand to respond to external risk challenges。December 14, 2022,"Expansion of the Outline of the Strategic Planning of Domineering (2022-2035)" was released for the first time,It is clearly proposed the main goal and key tasks of the implementation of the strategy of expanding the domestic demand during the "14th Five -Year Plan" period。The next day,The National Development and Reform Commission has released the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" to expand the strategic implementation plan of the domestic demand,Further refine the implementation plan for strategic planning。The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 15-16 of the same year,When deploying economic work in 2023, "focus on expanding domestic demand" in the first place,Reflects the strategic importance of expanding domestic demand。From theoretically,,Expansion of domestic demand with Bet365 app download the global value chain has a deep Bet365 app download -level logic link,It is mainly reflected in the following two aspects。

On the one hand,The connection and unity of the domestic value chain and the international value chain under the new development pattern。"Value Chain" concept was first proposed by American scholar Michael Potter in 1985,Measure the product Bet365 app download From the perspective of the enterprise、Production、Sales and other links for the entire process of value creation。Expand to a macro perspective,When the production process is limited to the inside of a country,The domestic value chain formed; when the production expands to the international division of labor,The international value chain is formed with。From the perspective of the dynamics of Bet365 app download the global value chain,Mainly changes in the external environment faced by China,The impact of the exterior is more of the international value chain。So,Under the new development pattern,Expanding domestic demand can unblock the domestic economic cycle,Promote the effective division of the domestic value chain; at the same time,Expanding domestic demand can also promote domestic and international dual -loop benign interaction,Expanding domestic demand can also promote domestic and international dual -loop benign interaction,So as to achieve the organic unity of the two。

On the other hand,Demand side and supply side in the new development pattern and the supply side。The Party's Twenty Reports proposed,It is necessary to organically combine the implementation of the strategy of expanding the domestic demand and deepening the supply -side structural reform,This was once again emphasized at the Central Economic Work Conference in 2022。The key to implementing the strategy of expanding the domestic demand is not only to strengthen demand -side management,More combined with the supply -side structural reform。The interesting thing is,Global value chain is exactly the specific manifestation of the new development pattern of "dual -cycle" on the supply side。So,Incentive measures taken when expanding domestic demand,It will affect Bet365 app download the global value chain,Implementation effect will also be affected by the revision of the global value chain,Explain that the demand side and supply side under "dual cycle" are unified。

  Implementation of expanding domestic demand strategy to cope with global value chain reconstruction 

Bet365 app download From the perspective of theoretical connection,Expanding domestic demand to respond to Bet365 app download the global value chain reconstruction is feasible,and China's strategy implemented by China can improve the domestic large cycle level、Deepen the supply -side structural reform、Forms three aspects of powerful domestic market。

First,Relying on domestic demand to drive a large domestic cycle,Create a global high -end factor resource "gravity field"。Global value chain shrinkage of traditional manufacturing,Instead of a substantial threat to China in the short term,But the situation is very different for advanced manufacturing。The manufacturing backflow actively promoted by developed countries,It is mainly for advanced manufacturing,Attracting back is the high -end element resource in the world。The key to responding to China is to enhance the "attractiveness" of high -end factor resources,Make it unable to leave China,Even supporting more resources enter China。At this time,Domestic cycles driven by domestic demand will provide it with continuous motivation,Serving the mid -to -high -end upgrade of the manufacturing industry。Unblocked domestic large cycle also depends on the development pattern of the regional reasonable division of labor,The orderly transfer of the domestic manufacturing industry is particularly important。According to the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Order of Manufacturing in the Manufacturing Industry in 2022",China is advancing the traditional manufacturing industry from the eastern region to the central and western region、Gradient transfer in the Northeast region。November 2022,Among the 45 countries' advanced manufacturing clusters in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology,There are 31 clusters in Shanghai、Guangdong、Jiangsu、Zhejiang and other eastern regions。So,The eastern region should take the lead in developing into the center of "gravity field",By cultivating the world's advanced manufacturing cluster,Ability to improve global high -end factor resource allocation。

Second,Deepen the supply -side structural reform to adapt to high -end demand,Active use of global bet365 Play online games elements and market resources。Demand and supply are the two major endogenous power driving market development,Expanding domestic demand and optimization supply is an important content of the two major motivation,It is related to whether supply and demand can be virtuous。Current,The supply of domestic and high -end products in China still cannot fully meet the people's actual needs for a better life,A higher requirements for deepening supply -side structural reforms are invisible。A successful example is the advent of domestic large aircraft C919。Established from China COMAC in 2008,By 2022, the world's first delivery,C919 has witnessed the development process of the continuous reconstruction of Bet365 app download the global value chain in 14 years,It also shows the manufacturing strength of China in response to the reconstruction trend。C919 made in China is undoubtedly the results of the global value chain division of labor,Not only gathered many domestic high -tech product suppliers,Also got the United States、Germany、Assistance from European and American suppliers such as France。Now I have gained from Thailand、Orders in more than a thousand countries including more than 30 countries in Germany,True use of global elements and market resources。

third,Digging domestic demand potential to form a strong domestic market,Build an autonomous and controllable entire industry chain system。Global spread of the new crown epidemic,As a result。Optimization and adjustment with the prevention and control measures of the epidemic,Domestic demand for contraction is recover quickly and orderly。In the future period,China needs to grasp the opportunity period of the construction of a unified unified market,Dedicated new urbanization construction,Adactions to consumption policy for local conditions,Fully excavate domestic demand potential,Give full play to the oversized market advantage,Then promote the formation of a strong domestic market。Another,As the country with the most complete industrial category in the world,China should also strengthen the large -scale domestic cycle driven by innovation,Relying on the "Belt and Road" regional value chain,Reduce technology dependence bet365 live casino games on Europe and the United States,Improve the control capabilities of the entire industry chain system。

  (This article is the impact and research on the impact of the global value chain on the construction of the Green 'Belt and Road' "(22BGJ049)、National Statistics Scientific Research Key Project "Global Value Chain Reconstruction IRS System Construction and Application Research" (2022LZ20) phased results) 

(Author Unit: School of Economics, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law) 

​​Editor in charge: Chen Jing
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