Fighting Star Transfer,Time,2023 has passed away。in 2023,Europe has suffered a continuous impact of multiple crisis internal and external crises,After many aspects of transformation and turbulence。Social tears within Europe were rushed to the traditional part of the traditional party formed by the era of globalization,The delay of the conflict between the Russian and Ukraine conflict covers the direction of the European external geopolitical change bureau,and the increasing frequent interaction of the United States and Europe indicates the new round of reorganization of European foreign relations。Looking back 2023,European situation can be summarized with the following keywords。
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Russia and Ukraine Drag the quagmire in the energy crisis and economic stagnation,Until cannot get rid of it; and the U.S. government launched the "Aflation Act" and "Chip and Science Act",Flowing to the United States in the fields of "emerging and disruptive technologies" in the fields of "emerging and disruptive technologies" such as artificial intelligence and clean energy such as European artificial intelligence and clean energy,As a result, the phenomenon of "industrial hollow" in Europe, especially Germany, is becoming more and more serious。Since the outbreak of the Russian -Ukraine conflict in February 2022,European economic development is in a state of continuous stagnation,Downshink。EU expectation,The economic growth rate of the euro zone in 2023 will not exceed 0.6%,The inflation rate will not be less than 6%。and Germany's negative growth in 2023 has become a final game,From the "locomotive" of the European economy to "European sick husband"。The economic downturn has continued to increase the gap between the rich and the poor in Europe,Internal contradictions bet365 Play online games are even more sharp,Social tear continuously intensify。
Politics: Rise of the Right Wing
In this background,European radical right -wing populist power rises rapidly,Enter the room,Dajiu swept the mainstream politics,In the era of economic globalization and regional integration, the European traditional party landscape formed has been broken。
October 2022,The leader of the "Italian Brothers" party leader of the Right -wing party ",The Italian government under its leadership implemented a series of right -wing conservatism in 2023、Nationality and suspicion of European and foreign policy。The Dutch Election Commission announced on December 1, 2023 to announce the official results of the Parliament House elections,The "Liberal Party" of the Right -wing party "Liberal Party" won the most seats in the House of Representatives,For the first time became the largest party in the House of Representatives,It will start the Pavilion,It is likely to be the ruling party。Since the end of the Cold War,For the first time in the Netherlands, a surge of radical populist parties will come to power。At the same time,Extreme right -wing parties in other European countries,Such as French "National Alliance"、"Youth Democratic Alliance" in Hungary、"Orthodox Finnish Party" in Finland,More and more active on the mainstream political stage。At the end of June 2023,French police shooting a 17 -year -old North African -American boy when he intercepted the inspection on the suburbs of Paris,Treating group protest,and then develop into a large -scale riots,Quickly spread to all parts of France。Angry people burning cars,Smash the city hall,In a while, many cities are in fire and light,A piece of wolf borrowing on the street。Through this riots,Different ethnic groups in Europe、Deep contradictions between cultural and interest groups and even sharp confrontation are exposed again,Right -wing populist parties expand its influence。In 2024, not only important European countries such as Finland will hold parliamentary bet365 Play online games elections,European Parliament, one of the three major EU institutions, will also be re -elected,Currently European right -wing populist parties are rubbing their fists,Active preparation,The European Parliament Election in 2024 is likely to trigger a violent earthquake in European political territory。
Diplomacy: "Toughness" obsession
Russia and Ukraine conflict like a thunderbolt,completely shattered the infinite nostalgia of Europe on the era of globalization,Seeing the horizontal fire on the horizon,Europe has to deeply reflect on the new liberal concept of my wishful thinking。German Prime Minister Tsold, written in the "Foreign Affairs" magazine in January 2023,pointed out that the "post -Cold War era" has ended,Put forward the "Time Turn" proposition,It is believed that the process of globalization has been severely frustrated,The power struggle promoted by traditional geopolitics has become the leading force to shape the international strategic situation。In this situation,Europe accepted the so -called "New Cold War" concept proposed by the United States,Link Sino -US relations with Russia and Ukraine with conflicts,I believe that the world is forming a new pole structure,One is the leading American、"Free International Order" participated in Europe,Another pole is dominated by "Sino -Russian axis Heart",Between poles will be long -term confrontation,Specific competition。
In this background,Chairman of the EU Commission Feng Delin, March 30, 2023 at Merics Research Center (Merics), Germany,Put forward the "de -risk" concept。EU released the "European Economic Security Strategy" document on June 20, 2023,Explained the "de -risk" concept,Proposed to take measures,Eliminate the "risk" of the "supply chain 'toughness'", "key infrastructure security", "technical security" and "economic stress"; on October 3rd, a key key about EU economic security was passed Suggestions in the technical field,Proposal should be for advanced semiconductors、Artificial Intelligence、Quantum computing and Bet365 lotto review biotechnology four areas conduct more detailed risk assessment,Develop the corresponding "de -risk" policy。Europe's "de -risk" intention is essentially "precise decoupling" or "directional decoupling",That is through industrial strategy、Import control、Import control、Investment review and other forms of policy structure,In a specific "critical" or "strategic" industry and department,Restrictions、Reduce or even completely cut off economic connections with China,to reduce the "strategic dependence" to China,Guarantee your "economic security"。
In order to implement the "de -risk" intention,EU hopes to realize "the diversification of external supply chains",Establish a wide and diverse connection with countries in other parts of the world,Therefore, the cross -border trade and investment activities of the "strategic" department can withstand the impact of the geographical strategic change bureau,Keep long -term stability。European political elites will be flexible and diverse features that can be flexible in foreign economic relations,Called "Toughness",Then it has formed an obsession with "toughness"。2023,Some European countries actively cooperate with the United States,Walk Africa and Latin America,Initiating economic diplomatic offensive,In the "critical infrastructure", "critical raw materials" and high -end manufacturing, concentrated expansion of the outside world,intention to make the supply of "critical" and "strategic" minerals and energy can withstand mutations,Keep stable,Then keep your infrastructure well running well。
US -Europe Relations: Same frequency resonance
The continuation of the conflict between the Russian and Ukraine and the economic difficulties within the European itself,Make Europe's strategic dependence on the United States gradually deepen,American and European interaction is becoming more and more frequent,Bilateral strategic collaboration tends to mechanism。In 2023, the United States and the European Union used the "Seven Kingdoms Group" summit、NATO Summit、Bet365 app download U.S. -EU Trade and Technical Committee three platforms,A bilateral negotiations at least once a month at least once a month。2023,France、Germany、Netherlands、Finland、Poland、Spain、Sweden、Leaders of important EU member states such as Italy and the leaders of the member states of the "Batuster Ninth Kingdom Model" in the Central and Eastern European and the leaders of the "Batuster Nine Kingdoms Model" of the Central and Eastern Europe held a bilateral meeting with US President Biden。The United States and the European and Europe are intensively communicating,Strategic consensus on the "Time Turning", "New Cold War" and "Risk Risk",The rhythm and focus of the strategic decisions of both parties gradually converge,More and more "same frequency resonance",Highlighting in the following two points。
First,The US -European foreign economic policy "pan -security"。2023,The U.S. government continues to take "maintaining national security" for,With the help of "economic war" policy tools such as export control and investment review,Implementing a tough and strict economic and technological containment of China。The U.S. government issued an administrative order that controls the United States in August 2023,Issued on October 17th to further tighten the rules for the export control of China semiconductor,Since the beginning of 2023, more than 20 Chinese enterprises and scientific research institutions are included in the sanctions "physical list",Can be described as a step -by -step layout for the camp。And the EU and its main member states also follow the United States,Tightly follow。The Netherlands issued the "Evaluation Report of the General Administration of Intelligence" in March 2023,The "National Security Strategy" document was introduced in April,June 30 announced the regulations for embargo on China for chip manufacturing machinery。Germany issued the "National Security Strategy" file in June 2023,The first "Strategy to China" file was introduced in July。EU also issued bet365 Play online games a number of policy documents,And in early October issued an anti -subsidy survey for Chinese electric vehicle products。Visible,The European Union and the United States decision intention and rhythm are more consistent。
Second,The United States and Europe are jointly launched a more frequent economic diplomatic offensive for the surrounding and some developing countries。January 13, 2023,U.S. President Biden met with Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Wenxiong in the White House。June 22,Biden Meets with Indian Prime Minister Modi who went to the United States with a state visit to the United States,The two parties issued a joint statement after the meeting,It is declared that the "Technical and Innovation Partnership"。September 10-11 During the visit to Vietnam,The United States and Vietnam announced that the bilateral relations have been raised from a comprehensive partnership to a comprehensive strategic partnership。other,In early October, the United States also held "Key and Emerging Technology Dialogue" with Singapore。At the same time,The Bayeng government continues to push the "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework" (IPEF) and "Global Infrastructure and Investment Partnership Initiative" (PGII),It is intended to strengthen the impact on the south of the world。and the EU the same action frequently。The EU held the "EU Ministerial Forum" in May 2023,Released "EU -Japan -Japan Digital Trade Principles" on June 27,It was announced on July 31 to announce the restoration of bilateral free trade negotiations with the Philippines。other,September 9-10, 2023,The 18th Summit of the Leaders of the Golden Group was held in India,During the summit, the EU cooperates with the United States to issue a statement,It means that it will join forces with the United States to build the "India -Middle East -African Economic Corridor",And Angola, which will work together in Africa、Zambia and the Congo (Gold) Three Kingdoms Construction of the Lolbyo Corridor,Investment to build railways。Bet365 app download These diplomatic actions of the European Union,Obviously intended to cooperate with the United States,Layout third -party area,Combination and even curb China。
2024 has arrived,EU and the United States will hold a general election。The pulse of European economic and political and foreign relations will be even more ups and downs,At the same time, in order to seek maximization of your own interests,Europe will also continue to swing between China and the United States,Both the attitude of choosing a team to the United States,Maintain a economic and trade connection with China。The change of the undercurrent surge needs to be closely observed,Detailed analysis。
(The author is the director of the EU Research Center of Shanghai Foreign Studies University、Researcher)
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