June 2020,The founder and executive chairman of the World Economic Forum Claus Schwab said,A serious economic recession has begun,The world may be facing the worst economic crisis since the 1930s。To avoid this possibility becomes reality,We need a "world rejuvenation" or "The Great Reset",One of its elements is to use the fourth industrial revolution to benefit the public interest of the society。to this day,Facing the popularity of new crown pneumonia,The global anti -epidemic situation is still not optimistic,The world economy still faces huge challenges。Some scholars proposed,Emerging technology has not played a huge driving effect on economic growth,The post -epidemic era regains the global economy needs to be supported by "real science"。
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In the first ten years in the 21st century,American entrepreneur Peter Thiel (Peter Thiel) once emotion,"We want a car that can fly,but got 140 characters "。"140 characters" here refers。Ter's comment visually reveals a phenomenon: the results of scientific and technological innovation are used more in social entertainment,instead of improving productivity,Creative exploration。
Since the 1970s and 1980s,Entering the "Information Age" globally,Knowledge generation、Communication、bet365 best casino games The speed and breadth of the application increase significantly,Technical progress Different Moon。However, a lot of evidence shows,Labor productivity has not increased significantly。Studies based on scholars such as Ian Goldin, a professor at Oxford University in Britain,Comparison of two periods of 1995-2005 and 2005-2018,United States、UK、Japan、Germany、The growth rate of labor productivity in France decreased by 1.5%respectively、1.82%、1.17%、0.86%、1.05%。The decrease in productivity growth has led to a decrease of US $ 13127 per capita GDP in 2018、11936 US dollars、$ 7225、$ 5992 and $ 6341。Also reported by the Wall Street Times in the United States,1995-2005 American workers' output an average of 2.9%per hour,2005-2015 increased to 1.3%。
Robert J. Gordon, a professor of economics at Northwestern University of the United States, put forward in his book,1870-1970,U.S. living standards for unprecedented economic changes and technological innovation cannot be copied,US productivity growth will be unequal、Population aging、Further obstacles to factors such as the rise in federal government debt。Now,The speed of innovation seems to be speeding up,Economic growth is slowing。1920-1970,The growth rate of the actual GDP in the United States is 3.7%,productivity growth is 2.8%。2006-2016,The growth rate of the actual domestic product of the United States is 1.4%,productivity growth is 1%。But,In this 10 years,The number of patents bet365 Play online games newly issued in the United States increased by 27.9%,More than 24.2%of the previous (1996-2006)。Tyler Cowen, a professor of economics at George Mason University, talked about it, Since the 17th century,The US economy enjoyed the "low fruit" -free land、Immigration Labor、Strong new technology。In the past 40 years,These fruits begin to disappear,But people have not realized the period of technology stability,"Fruit Tree" is less than people expect。
New technical potential has not been fully released
Wim Naudé, a professor of economics at Ireland Cock University, said,The first and second industrial revolution both are characterized by labor productivity and wages.,and since the 1970s,Many developed economies have grown in productivity and are stagnant and "decoupled" with wage growth,Some key technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (Artificial Intelligence、IoT、3D printing) No potential has not given full play to。3D printing technology that began commercialized in the 1980s and 1990s failed to trigger the global revolution of local small-scale segmentation manufacturing (Localized Small-SCALE Niche ManuFacturn),Its applications so far are basically limited to making molds and models; some scholars said,3D printing technology is predicted but not realized。
The potential of the Internet of Things has not been clearly displayed。The former chairman of the British Engineering Technology Society, William Webb, talked about the new "Internet of Things Myth",Current,The unified bet365 live casino games standards of the connected to decentralized IoT devices does not exist,There is no technology that can converge the entire IoT ecosystem to one place。
From Nord's view,The actual performance of emerging technologies is not as expected as the expected reason is that the market is intensified。The cutting -edge enterprises that master new technologies use this advantage to consolidate their dominant position,Obstacles to the spread of new technologies。According to the research of James E. Bessen, the executive director of the University of Law School of Boston University of Boston University in the United States,Since 2000,Top companies in developed countries such as the United States,Especially the software investment increased sharply,Make the "second echelon" enterprise realized the possibility of leapfrogging.,The market competitiveness weakens。Nord thinks,High cost of software technology,Low marginal cost,Make large companies more likely to develop high -quality products than their small competitors。In the face of high barriers and low profits,Many smaller companies choose not to use the latest technology,Lead of blocking new technologies to be blocked,The gap between technology leading companies and backward companies expands,The energy of technological progress is not enough to drive the overall productivity level。other,The income of emerging digital technology often decreases over time,Especially when "low fruit" Bet365 app download is picked out,Only higher positions are left、More difficult opportunities,Even so。
Noord Suggestion,Increase investment for scientific research that can generate universal technology。Digital technology is one of the fastest development technical fields,But most of the investment resources in this field seeks the risk investment institutions for rapid returns,It is expected to achieve breakthrough results but requires longer research and development time.。This tendency may lead to some critical industries and technology lack of necessary funds for progress and innovation。Data Display,2003,Risk investment in the medical equipment industry has decreased by more than 50%,Semiconductor、The increase in venture investment in the optical fiber communication and mobile communication industry is greater than a greater extent。Currently facing severe climate and environmental challenges in the world。However, a report display of the Brukins Society in the United States,Since 2011, American clean technology risk investment is sharply reduced,Investment is concentrated in 4 metropolitan areas。
Mikko Packalen, associate professor of economics at the University of Waterloo University in Canada, told this reporter,In recent decades,Not only the weak economic growth in developed countries,Many developing countries that have experienced high -speed growth have also shown a trend of slowing growth in GDP。Why do new scientific ideas and new technologies Bet365 app download no longer drive economic growth as strong as in the past? Most economists think,Part of the reason is that the speed of people's finding new ideas has become slower。Review of evidence,The cost of scientific achievements today is much higher than in the past。Even in the field where the development momentum is still rapid,Scientific research productivity is also decreasing。Physics researcher at the Frankfurt High Research Institute, Sabine Hossenfelder, lamented "there is no movement in the field of basic physics now",It is not even suitable for describing with the "crisis",Because this word shows that scientists realize that their research methods have defects,The change is happening,However, they didn’t see self -reflection and awakening。Theoretical physicists are just continuing that they have done for 40 years,This stage of progress is unprecedented。
Nord also thinks,Higher education institutions are "heavy town" for scientific research,But in recent years,College scientific research activities are inappropriate incentive mechanisms and dogma、Drag the formalized administrative management system。Nord called on the scientific community to set off a "return basic" exercise,Through the real、Scientific research that dares to adventure,Promoting economic recovery,Promote the real "take -off"。
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