Actively deal with the problem of population aging
February 01, 2023 09:21 Source: "China Social Sciences" February 1, 2023 Total Issue 2580 Author: Reporter Zhao Qi

Decreased fertility rate、Prolonged life expectancy of human expectations and a large number of people's steps entering the aging stage and other factors,Global population structure has changed,Coping problem of population aging has become a major challenge for many countries。Recent,The official website of the European Think Tank Economic Policy Research Center published an article "Healthy aging,Healthy Economy,The key to cracking aging is to actively coordinate the aging of the population,Promoting the coordinated development of the elderly career and the elderly industry。This article recommends that the government continues to promote technological innovation in medical care,Reasonable formulation of retirement policy,Reform and expand the nursing system,Do a good job of strict sanitation technology evaluation。Give the society around population aging、The impact of the economy,How to protect the rights of the elderly group and individual,Make the elderly better participate in hot issues in the aging research of economic and social activities such as economic and social activities,This reporter interviewed relevant scholars。

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Population aging is the major population development trend of the world today。According to the "2022 World Population Outlook" report released by the United Nations,At present, nearly 800 million people in the world are in the elderly stage,The aging population will increase to 1 billion in the next 34 years。1960,The number of children under the age of 15 in the world is more than 7 times the number of people 65 and above.,Now this ratio is lower than 3: 1。This change is mainly caused by three factors: first, bet365 live casino games the fertility rate decreases,Since 1960,The world ’s total fertility rate has fallen by 50%,From the average family of 4.7 children to 2.3; the second is the extension of human expectations,Since 1960,Human expectations have extended their life expectancy in their 20s; third, large -scale groups entered the elderly stage。The arrival of population aging,Let many countries macroeconomics、Fiscal balance、Family wealth and health care supply encountered multiple downward risks。If a country's large -scale population reaches the age of receiving pensions and starts to retire,Whether there are enough people with enough age population can continue to maintain economic efficient operation,and pay pensions for increasingly increasing retirees,This is a question that is generally concerned about society。

David Bloom, a professor at Harvard University Population and Development Research Center, said,Currently in the social security system of many countries,The number of elderly population and the number of retirees is growing,The decline in the decline in the population of the appropriate age has formed a sharp contrast,Bring a lot of pressure to finance。The medical and health system also increases due to the increase in the number of elderly population、Life extension and other factors,I have to increase more medical staff、Equipment and extended nursing time。According to the recent evaluation and display,In a high -income country,The amount required for the treatment of elderly diseases every year accounts for 3%-10%of GDP。

Brum mentioned,The slowdown in labor growth caused by the aging population also puts some pressure on economic growth,Due to the decline in the scale of the labor population of the appropriate age,Improving the cost of labor employment,Especially weakening the comparative advantage of labor -intensive industries。Insufficient number of new labor force,Letting companies have to invest more capital Bet365 lotto review to update production equipment instead of human resources,This also potentially reduces the income of the enterprise。There are empirical research discoveries,GDP growth is roughly proportional to the decline in labor and population growth。Take the United States as an example,1975-2015,The population growth rate of 20-64 years old is 1.24%,But it is expected that the population growth rate of this age in the next 40 years will be only 0.29%,This will lead to the corresponding decline in the growth rate of US GDP。In Europe,The aging labor population of many countries will also decrease by 20%between 2015 and 2055,Following it is the decline in GDP growth rate。

Although the population aging is accelerating the evolution,But the change of the population structure has also brought many development opportunities。In the past 50 years,At the same time as the number of elderly population increases,Global per capita income has also doubled,The proportion of population living below the absolute poverty line decreases from half of the total population to less than 1/10。These progress descriptions,Humans have enough wisdom and adaptability,Including technological innovation、System reform and in hygiene、Investment in education and infrastructure,to effectively crack the adverse effects brought by aging。

  Make sure the elderly live a high -quality life

In order to adapt to the change of new population structure,Encourage the elderly to better participate in economic and social activities、Continue creating social wealth,and provide better social security for the elderly,To establish institutional guarantee measures from the policy level。John Ataguba, a professor at the School of Public Health, Cape Town, South Africa, told reporters,Elderly people must have sound guarantee measures,At the same time, they are also willing to participate in economic and social activities,Give full play。Therefore,Establishing and sound bet365 best casino games supporting policies and measures should become the government's priority development matters。other,It is also necessary to vigorously support the elderly population employment and entrepreneurs,Develop high -tech products,Promoting pension and culture、Travel、Health、Training、Rehabilitation and other industries fusion,Further stimulate the silver -haired economy (Silver Economy),Provide the appropriate product market for the elderly consumers。

The World Health Organization Call,Healthy aging should become an important goal,Let the elderly enjoy the affordable medical care service,On the basis of ensuring that the elderly can live independently,Let them live more meaningful and more positive life。Ada Raida,In order to make the elderly have a healthy physique,Need to encourage them to perform appropriate aerobic exercise。At the same time,The government also needs to invest in more sports venues and sports facilities; encourage the elderly people to optimize diet habits,Active more healthy foods,Reduced the habit of badness; build a more friendly community for the elderly,Expand their interconnection with society,More developed public transport facilities for investment construction、Leisure and Entertainment Facilities,Make public space more suitable for the life of the elderly。

The International Monetary Fund Organization website has published a post,Technical innovation has great potential in accelerating the realization of healthy aging。The key to innovation is to develop and use safe and effective vaccines,Because the elderly group is more likely to infect flu、pneumonia、Zebrass and other viruses,Timely vaccination can effectively prevent diseases。other,Wearable health monitoring equipment and more extensive hypertension、Blood glucose screening,These are all reduced medical costs、Important methods to prevent elderly diseases。Population bet365 best casino games aging indicates that the increase in long -term care demand。Study and display according to a study of the elderly population data in 30 countries,Long -term care demand for long -term care from 2020-2040 will increase by 47%,Therefore, the training of nursing staff must be expanded。

Natalia Kanem, executive director of the United Nations Population Foundation, said,The epidemic lets us see that human demand for health and medical care is huge,We should take the guarantee of human health as an important issue for national development。but,There are two misunderstandings in the current global protection measures for population aging。First, the aging of the population is considered a problem of a wealthy country。Although the proportion of population 60 and above is high in high -income countries,But there are still many people of this age group living in low -income and middle -income countries。Second, countries with a large number of young people do not need to worry about the age of society。Ensure that the rights of the elderly should become the consensus of the international community,Any country needs to make a plan early。UN Population Foundation will further protect the rights of the elderly,The world has nearly 1/6 of the labor age of 55 and above,This proportion will rise in the future,Aired agenda for the elderly helps the development of macroeconomics in various countries。

  The potential of silver hair is huge

The elderly people need national and social security while they need national and social security,It also contains huge labor wealth and consumption potential,For this,Related studies should be strengthened。Mlanie White, an associate professor at the Department of Sociology at the University of New South Wales, Australia, told reporters,Elderly is an important participant in the economy,Elderly people often have relatively stable income (especially in the Organization State),and the demand is higher,Therefore, they can become Bet365 app download an important consumer in the market。According to relevant research, display,Global consumer class (at least $ 11 per person per day) will increase from 3.9 billion in 2020 to 5.6 billion in 2030,The elderly group contributes a lot to this growth,The number of people in the consumer class will increase from approximately 459 million in 2020 to 760 million in 2030。

According to statistics from the website of the Brukins Society,Elderly and older professionals (45-64 years old) are the richest age groups in the world。Future,Silver hair economy will occupy a more important position、Have strong strength。From the perspective of the region,Silver Hair Economy will be transferred from the Economic Organization Economy to Emerging Markets,Especially Asia。Now,The total consumption capacity of silver -haired consumers is in Asia、A relatively average distribution in the three regions of North America and Europe。From 2030,Asia's share will increase significantly,At that time, the annual expenditure of the elderly in the area is expected to exceed $ 5 trillion。

Re mention that White mentioned,Appropriate delay in retirement age,Let the elderly with energy and energy supplement part of the labor market,It has become the usual practice of many countries。Even if the elderly do not work,They also often engage in creative non -market activities,If you take care of your grandchildren、Evil in volunteer work or do housework at home。These productive contributions to society must be appropriately calculated。Therefore,Time of policy formulation,Must consider the talents and advantages of the elderly,Correctly evaluate the value of the elderly,Can't blindly regard the elderly as a burden。

In the next decades,The world will be more and more focused on the challenges brought by the aging of the population。For this status quo,Social sciences need to further strengthen specialized research and interdisciplinary research Bet365 lotto review related to aging,Provide a basis for formulating more scientific and reasonable aging laws and policies。Expert Suggestion,In order to achieve the sustainable development of economic and society,Let the elderly live a happier life,Countries need to implement more reasonable population policy,Pay more attention to measures such as promoting disease prevention and early discovery,More extensive research and development and innovative medical care technology,Develop a flexible retirement and pension system,Develop a public space for the friendship of the elderly。

Editor in charge: Chen Jing
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