China's industrial structure transformation and potential economic growth rate
December 03, 2020 14:29 Source: China Social Sciences Magazine Author: Zhu Min Zhang Longmei Peng Daoju

  bet365 Play online games To deepen the supply -side structural reform、Promote high -quality development,Based on China's more than 40 years of economic structure transformation and transnational historical experience,Establish an estimation of China's future industrial structure bet365 best casino games transformation and productivity convergence of subdivided industries,Forecast Chinese economic growth rate in different scenarios in 2030。The results show,China's economic growth rate in 2030 is expected to remain at a health level of 3.9%-4.5%。As China enters the period of industrialization,Labor power flows from industry continuously into the service industry,The contribution of weakening the structure of the inter -departmental structure to economic growth,But the high -skilled bet365 best casino games service industry and high -tech manufacturing convergence speed will become new growth momentum,helps to increase economic growth。This is the uncertainty of China's active response to the current world economic situation,Promote the sustainable and healthy development of the economy,Provided new policy vision and framework。 

  Keywords:potential economic growth rate  Industrial structure transformation  Labor productivity  unconditional convergence 

  AuthorZhu Min, Professor of the National Financial bet365 live casino games Research Institute of Tsinghua University (Beijing  100083); Zhang Longmei,Tsinghua University Su Shimin College Citi Flag Special Veduers Professor (Beijing  100085); Peng Daoju,Associate Professor of the School of International Economics and Management of the University of Capital (Beijing  100026)。 

Editor in charge: Cui Cen
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