The United States cannot interfere with cooperation between Brazil and BRICS countries
December 12, 2019 08:21 Source: "China Social Sciences" December 12, 2019, Issue 1835 author: Marcos de Paiva Vieira translated

In the election of the President of Brazil,Jair Bolsonaro (Jair Bolsonaro) shows a tendency to support US President Donald Trump's right -wing thoughts。Because the reality of Brazil cannot be compatible with this kind of radical position,Bosonaro has worked for nearly a year,The right -wing thoughts that have a great impact on it earlier have to fall back。But,The United States still pressures Brazil,Try to make the Brazilian policy more inclined to the United States and oppose China。

but but,The current attitude of the Palace of Itimrace (where the Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs is located),At least it is relatively mild in Brazil's foreign policy。The change made by the Brazilian government recently in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has indeed showed China's important role in Brazil's overall appearance,Especially in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, a new high -level Chinese division,and the original plan of the Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs was to set up only one American company。I visited the Division of the Division in Brazil on September 6、Master Louis Maria Pio Corrêa,and confirm that the Palace of Itimrati is affected by the pressure of the United States,But still made great efforts in expanding friendly relations with China。

Since 2003,In the previous few sessions of the Labor Party Government,Because the former President Lula established the "St. Paul Forum" to promote the left -wing politics of Latin America ("Pink Wave"bet365 best casino games ),Therefore, the foreign policy adopted by Brazil for Brazil and some countries,Especially the relationship with the United States is very unfavorable。One of the current government foreign policy is to try to repair a good bilateral relationship with the United States and other countries.。But this does not mean that Brazil will give up with traditional partners,It is mainly a cooperative relationship with China。China has been Brazil's largest trading partner in the past ten years。Brazil is currently only trying to amend the past policy and truly restore the balance of Brazil's diplomatic relations。In May 2019, Brazil Vice President Hamilton Mourao's visit to China,His high -level work prompts Sino -Pakistani relations to return to a good period。After visiting China in October in October,China -Pakistan friendly situation is strengthened,More precisely, it has restored the positive role of China -Brazil's high -level coordination and cooperation committee (COSBAN)。Brazil's foreign policy to China has shifted to positive direction development。

 Bet365 lotto review Limited space for pressure

Although Trump opposes globalization、multilateralism and other negative measures may have an impact on Brazil,But the Brazilian cabinet has been able to minimize it as possible。Brazil to carefully prepare and host the BRICS Summit.,The policy of the United States is unlikely to be supported。Due to Brazil's huge economic influence on South America,Trump cannot ignore the important role of the country,At the same time, we must do my best to deal with this new situation,This is very different from the previous situation of the Brazilian left -wing government。The faster the speed of the United States to Brazil、The closer the relationship with bet365 best casino games it,The more favorable for the United States。But because Trump is seeking the possibility of re -election,The dispute between the presidential election has also begun,Therefore, Trump does not understand the overall situation of the BRICS Summit held in Brazil.。Trump is currently facing many domestic pressures,Including the threat of impeachment,Although this may not be reality in the end,But this still needs to be valued by Trump。One point to be emphasized here is,Due to the above situation,Trump has no time to take care of the BRICS countries。In fact, a very good time is in front of Trump and his team,They can be in various fields,Including the economy、Politics、Diplomacy even becomes closer to Brazil in terms of military cooperation,But there are too many problems that they need to worry about。

One of the most important strategies adopted by the United States to "seduce" Brazil is to inspire Brazil's enthusiasm。The United States said it will support Brazil to join the Economic Cooperation and Development Organization (OECD) -The will of this high -income economy club。This can be regarded as a signal for Brazil to become a US strategic partner,But in my opinion,This strategy is estimated to be wrong。mid -2019,Secretary -General of the Organization Organization, José Angel Gurria, requests member states to recommend two countries to participate in the qualification evaluation of future member states。Although Trump has disclosed and made a commitment to Bosonaro himself,But the United States specifies Argentina and Romania as its recommended country in the official letter submitted to the Economic Organization。

Argentina is on the edge of the left -wing policy of returning to Kishiner,Bet365 app download This is a real situation。The United States will give OECD a national quota to Argentina,This is a strategy taken out by meticulous calculation。Posonaro's open negative remarks on the newly elected Argentine President Alvrity Fel Southdez became a tool that can be used in the United States,The United States intends to control Buenos Aires (the International Monetary Fund has also taken action against Argentina),At the same time, Bosonaro and his son will always "Feng Cheng" Trump。This is the best way to start a win -win game in South America。

The U.S. government has not made it clear whether the relationship between the Bosonaro government has opened a close ally relationship,Because Brazil's efforts have not replaced Argentina's priority position in the United States。Brazil will not easily get rid of this image as a strong competitor (especially in agriculture)。Considering that the BRICS Summit is prepared by the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture,Explain that Brazil supports the BRICS countries instead of the United States。Due to the existence of agricultural product competition,The American agricultural department is actually an enemy of the Brazilian agricultural department。Considering the current Sino -US trade war,Brazilans believe that if you rely on Brazil's food supply capacity,China has capital with the United States to achieve its own intention。So,From a diplomatic perspective,The United States is less space for the United States to put pressure on Brazil and BRICS countries。

Active ideological measures and rhetoric are not enough to attract Trump to popularize its team's attention,Even the trade agreement that the Economic Affairs of the Brazil may not be able to become a reason for the United States to choose a close relationship。Bet365 lotto review Anyway,Brazil has made tentative concessions -for example,Increase the quota imported from the United States by 25%,This is a very major measure,It obtained Washington's invisible strategy endorsement,If you support Brazil to become a candidate for the North Atlantic Convention Organization (NATO)。

 The United States cannot force Latin AmericaMake a choice between China and the United States

  China -Pakistan relations may be the main concern of the United States in the BRICS Summit。but but,US think tanks with different opinions about this。Some analysts said,China does not have to improve its role in Latin America,Especially for the reason for the "Belt and Road" initiative, changing the attitude towards Latin America。The United States said,In addition to making efforts in improving soft power China,Like the same ten years,Continue in infrastructure construction、Inject funds injected with resources and market development。American diplomacy and government officials visiting Latin America cannot ignore the opinions of the local people,Forced Latin America to choose between China and the United States。The United States knows this is impossible,Because Latin America needs to rely on China and the United States to maintain survival、Promote economic growth。These views consolidated the analysis of this issue,The United States cannot put pressure on Brazil,Therefore, due to the above reasons,The BRICS meeting is not affected by the United States。The United States has played a few tough cards to oppose Huawei into the Brazil market。Even the candidate country of Economic Organization is part of the source of stress。The United States is trying to change Brazil's idea in various ways。

Brazil needs to invest bet365 best casino games and is providing more than 200 investment opportunities to China through the Public and Private Investment Plan (PPI),Including infrastructure (railway、Highway、Port、Airport and other infrastructure)、Petroleum Reserve、Privatization of State -owned Enterprises (SOE) (especially electric energy production、allocation and transfer), etc.。China proposed to Brazil to join the “Belt and Road” initiative (bri),But I hope that Brazil can determine in writing,Ru Memo (MOU)。If this file is signed,The United States may take many interventions on Brazil。So,Brazil thinks from the actual perspective,"Okay,Let China -Pakistan cooperation stronger; but not by signing the Memorandum of understanding the BRI, but through a specific PPI project "。If the file is signed,China will benefit a lot from it,But most of them are political interests,and Brazil currently needs to fight for economic benefits through PPI。

No doubt,The above situation of Brazil's support for multilateralism has become the mainstream during the preparation of the BRICS meeting。This means that Brazil has not given up cooperation with traditional partners,Mainly cooperation with China,In the past ten years,China has always been Brazil's largest trading partner。Although some of the views of the Brazilian government seem to show their relationship with the United States,But this is also Brazil's effort made by Brazil to make up for the error and to restore the true balance in Brazil's diplomatic relations,During the preparatory stage of the BRICS Summit and the meeting period,The Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has made a public explanation of this。

(The author is a senior researcher at Brazil's multi -level university、Bet365 lotto review Deputy Secretary -General of the Guangdong Economy Research Association)

Editor in charge: Changchang
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