Current,Global economic growth recovers weak,WTO reform resistance is heavy,New Crown Pneumonia Epidemium Global Popularity and Sino -US economic and trade friction resonance,Serious impact global value chain division system,Lead the Chinese industrial chain、The supply chain is facing risks such as "broken chain" and "decoupling",It also further highlights my country's core technology in key areas、Parts、shortcomings in raw materials and other aspects,Become a "breakpoint" and "blocking point" for the high -quality development of China's economy。Facing a big change in the world for a century,Proposal of the new development pattern,Not only the effective strategy of responding to the impact of the global value chain reconstruction of the global value chain,It is a long -term guidance of China's major strategic selection of global value chain and high -quality economic development。
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Since 2010,Cross -border investment growth stagnation,Slowing global trade growth,The industrial chain relying on the traditional global value chain division of labor has a trend of metastasis or even shrinking。The global popularity of the new crown pneumonia epidemic,further accelerated the reconstruction and adjustment of the global value chain,Industrial chain and supply chain security issues have been mentioned by unprecedented height,The attention of the "efficiency" of the "efficiency" of the value chain division of labor chain has gradually changed to the value chain "toughness"。Specifically,The current global value chain division of labor presents four new trends。
First, the global value chain tends to be regionalized in horizontal distribution、Localization。Current,Divided into multiple production links in different countries and regions to contraction and gather in a certain area or one country and surrounding areas,Global value chain regional and localized attributes are continuously enhanced。bet365 live casino games On the one hand,China、The United States and Germany are used as Asia、North America and European regional value chain hubs in the hub country of the country have been formed,The booming development of the regional trade agreement has also continuously injecting the power of the global value chain regionalization,The value chain in the area is continuously strengthened。On the other hand,U.S.、Japan、EU and other developed countries and regions show strong localization demands,Try to solve the dilemma of the domestic industry by promoting "re -industrialization",Reduce the "disconnection" risk caused by excessive dependence on other countries when facing a sudden impact。
Second, the global value chain tends to be short -chain in the vertical distribution。Since the financial crisis in 2008,Global trade protectionism has raised,Developed countries encouraging industries to return to the country to shorten the global value chain to form a certain impact。At the same time,A wide range of the new crown pneumonia epidemic、longer duration,A longer chain、The impact of traditional global value chain division in more links is more serious and lasting,For this,Multinational companies gradually shrink the global value chain to ensure the security and stability of the industrial chain supply chain。other,Wide application of emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence,greatly improved the knowledge and technical density of various production links,Weaken the inner motivation of multinational companies looking for "cost depression" to refine division of labor,The layout of the division of labor in the value chain presents a short -chain trend。
Third, the global value chain tends to digitize in the direction of the transformation。The digital economy is constantly changing and reshaping the global production division of labor。On the one hand,Those traditional services that are difficult to carry out trade and have strong regional attributes,Under the empowerment of the digital economy, it has transformed into a trade product that is hardly restricted by geographical restrictions。On the other hand,The extensive use of the digital economy bet365 live casino games has reduced the interconnection cost of all links of the global value chain,to help more companies participate in it。At the same time,The epidemic of the new crown pneumonia makes the people's life、International Trade、Social development and other aspects have appeared significant digital change,Accelerated the digital transformation trend of the global value chain。
Fourth, the global value chain tends to be green in the upgrade orientation。With the continuous attention of all countries on green development,Greening has become a new direction for the transformation and upgrading of the global value chain。Current,More than 130 countries and regions in the world announced the "carbon neutral" goal,The European Commission also released the "carbon boundary adjustment mechanism" in July 2021.。Copy climate change、Promoting green development has become a global consensus,The direction of global industrial development and layout will be affected through the global value chain division of labor。
China participates in the global value chain challenge and opportunities
In -depth development of a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial change,Global Popularity of the New Crown pneumonia epidemic,China as a key participant and contributor to the global value chain,The challenge facing is increasingly prominent,At the same time, it also ushered in a series of new development opportunities。
First,China may face a more prominent industrial chain outward risk,But also accelerated the process of getting rid of the dual pinch of "low -end lock" and "high -end blockade"。Developed countries accelerate the high -end manufacturing industry "return" local,To a large extent, the risk of transferring outward transfer of some high -end industrial chains in my country。Increased the cost of domestic labor elements,Overlaying the cost of tariffs after the Sino -US economic and trade friction,Some labor -intensive industries are "diverting" to Southeast Asian countries。But this also forced Chinese enterprises,Breakthrough "card neck" situation such as core technology and key components,Strive to rise to the global value chain high -end。
Next,China may be excluded from the value chain of bet365 best casino games some areas,But also created a new opportunity for the establishment of the "Mine -based" regional value chain system。In recent years,The free trade agreement dominated by developed countries attempts to further squeeze China out of its regional value chain。But with the high -quality co -construction of the “Belt and Road” initiative,Signed the "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement" (RCEP) as Asian regional economic cooperation brought about,and China formally applied to join more regional trade agreements and economic cooperation methods such as the "Comprehensive and Progressive Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement" (CPTPP),Establish a regional value chain system for China for China,Building a higher level of international cooperation provides an important starting point。
again,Developed countries may restrict China with the advantages of pre -development in the formulation of digital trade rules,But China can also grasp the historical opportunity period of the digital revolution,Implement digital transformation and upgrade。Current,International rules in the field of digital trade are formulated relatively lagging,There are differences between the more systematic "American template" and "European Template",China's right to speak in the formulation of international economic and trade rules in China also needs to be enhanced。At the same time,Due to the uniform rules of the global digital economy at present,Super market size and perfect supporting infrastructure,helps my country to attract global advanced elements and lead digital rules。
Last,Global value chain greening will set up a higher threshold for my country's integration of the global production division of labor,At the same time, it also brings opportunities for my country's search for leap in the new round of international competition。Current,The global green development trend will form a certain impact on my country's existing trade model and industrial structure in the short term,But this trend has strived to achieve a carbon peak in 2030 with the claim of our country、Achieve carbon neutralization and other goals in 2060,All will Bet365 lotto review prompt yourself to pass green、Low -carbonized comprehensive change,Getting Advantages of Future Global Competition。
China Plan to realize the global value chain upgrade
Facing a big change in the world's century -old,Need to build a new development pattern as a strategic guidance,The strategic opportunity period of global value chain redefining after the epidemic era,Make full use of the two domestic and international markets,Continue to high -end rising to the global value chain。
First,Remove the obstacles of the domestic system and mechanism,Promote the formation of a strong domestic market。Powerful domestic market is the cornerstone of building a new development pattern,It is the main advantage of achieving a global value chain to a higher level in my country。For this,my country should effectively eliminate market segmentation、upstream monopoly and other institutional mechanism obstacles,Promoting the smooth flow of resources,At the same time, accelerate the coordinated development of the region,Strengthen the innovation leading role in the eastern region and the industrial undertaking role in the central and western regions,Construct a smooth realization of industrial gradient transfer、Regional pattern of east -west two -way mutual benefit。
Second,Fighting the core technology tackling battle,Strengthen independent innovation,Make sure the industrial chain supply chain is safe and stable。Some key core technologies in our country are subject to people,Full industrial foundation,Serious restrictions on my country's industrial chain supply chain autonomous controllable, optimized and upgraded。For this,my country should strengthen corporate innovation subject status,Form the enterprise as the main body as soon as possible、Market -oriented、Technology innovation system for deep integration for industry -university and research。At the same time,Constantly give full play to the advantages of the new national system,Explore the implementation of the "chain length system" and "chain main system",Accelerate the realization of the entire industrial chain coordinated innovation、Core technology autonomous controllable。
bet365 Play online games third,Grasp the opportunity of digital economy development,Accelerate digital empowerment of China's global value chain upgrade。Digital economy development has become the post -epidemic era to drive economic recovery、New engine for accelerating the transformation and upgrading of the global value chain。For this,my country should use 5g、The development advantage of e -commerce and other fields is based on,Accelerate the development of emerging digital industries and digital transformation of traditional industries,Actively participate in and lead the new rules of digital trade in the world。At the same time,Grabbing the opportunity of the digital economy development,Strengthen the frontier research and development innovation of digital technology,To seize the high point of future development and make development。
Fourth,Promoting economic growth methods Green transformation and upgrading,Accelerate the deep fusion of the global value chain and greening。Current,Green、Low -carbonization has become a strategic direction for the upgrading of the global value chain division system。To lead low -carbon transformation,my country should effectively improve energy utilization efficiency,Strengthening cleaning technology and energy research and development innovation,Optimize the energy structure,Help the implementation of the "double carbon" goal。At the same time,Actively participate in global emission reduction、International cooperation and rules in the fields of climate change,Jointly promote the Global Value Chain Green Process。
Fifth,Cultivate the regional value chain of "Mainly I",Actively participate in the formulation of international economic and trade rules。Current,High -quality co -construction of the “Belt and Road” initiative、Solid the landing of RCEP、Actively participate in CPTPP,Both will provide new choices for the integration of my country's and other economies into the global value chain。At the same time,It should also be based on the establishment of a higher level international cooperation platform,Create the regional value chain system of "Mi -Main",Provide important opportunities for my country's implementation of the formulation of international economic and trade rules。
(This article is the college country of the Ministry of Education and the regional research topic "The global industrial chain reconstruction impact and response" (2020N29) in the new crown epidemic project)
(Author Unit: School of International Economics and Trade at the University of Foreign Economics and Trade; China WTO Research Institute of the University of Foreign Economics and Trade)
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