bet365 Play online games A study proposed,When data analysis shows limitations,Research methods focused on individual observations can play a role。
Report on July 1, official website of the University of Munich,The British magazine "Nature" published an article "Frauke Kreuter, a professor of statistics and data science at the University of Munich from the end of June. 》。mentioned in the text,The ability to perceive the social environment can make humans better communicate and cooperate,and draw on bet365 Play online games the experience of others。Under the perspective of computing social sciences,This ability can be used to promote research on human society (Sociality)。When it is strategically selected to represent a specific population,Social Sensor helps describe and predict social trends。
Croytel said,Although social science researchers can obtain unprecedented data today,But there are still many ways to predict the development of contemporary society,Government election results、The epidemic of new crown pneumonia is a typical example of the current system that is difficult to provide accurate prediction results。Therefore,We should not focus narrowly in data analysis,Ignore bet365 Play online games the fact that humans have the ability to "sensing"; fields that are difficult to capture data from the trace of behavior,This ability can play an important role。Many social phenomena are developing fast and often developed in the direction of unexpected,Researchers cannot collect enough new passive data to track related trajectories。
Even in the era of big data,The information obtained by interviewing with individual information providers can still play a key role。Researchers should not ignore a fact: accessing survey can be used as an important source of supplementary information。The information provided by individual interviewees is not only related to their own situation,It Bet365 lotto review also involves the surrounding environment they are located,But the latter has been ignored for a long time,Researchers should pay attention to and make good use of this。
Croytel and others used the above ideas in the "New Crown Pneumonia Epidemic Trends and Investigation"。The survey began in April 2020,It aims to predict the spread of the new crown pneumonia.,More than 55 million people in the world participated in the survey。The survey contains a question "Do you know people who have seen symptoms in your local community"。Researchers discovered,The answer of the respondents largely indicates the development trend of the epidemic。Another,In Social Science Survey,The prerequisite bet365 best casino games for using the individual as a "sensor" is,The screened information provider must constitute a variable control、Samples with representative specific crowds。
(Wang Youran/Compilation)
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