Overseas Chinese are expanding the influence of Chinese culture、Promoting Chinese and foreign civilization exchanges and mutual learning，Play important bridges and bonds。They actively support and participate in the construction of the “Belt and Road”，strongly promoted friendly cooperation between China and countries along the route，To make the "Belt and Road" a peaceful communication、The road to civilized exchange has made positive contributions。While fully understanding the positive role played by overseas Chinese and Chinese people，You need to notice，They are also experiencing changes in the times。Summary historical experience can be found，The regularity of the population re -production is an important factor affecting the change of population。Understanding the impact of the law of the population of the population on the current status and future trends of overseas Chinese and Chinese people，Grasp the changes and characteristics of the overseas Chinese population and characteristics of the times，It is an important basis for achieving scientific estimation of the scale and social impact of overseas Chinese。

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Malaysia is currently the world's second largest overseas Chinese settlement。From the perspective of social and economic status，Malaysia's Chinese education level is higher，Most of them belong to the middle income class，It has an important impact on the local economy of Malaysia。Compared with other overseas Chinese live countries and regions，Malaysia directly affects the politics of the Chinese population、Bet365 lotto review Economic and other factors are relatively small，It is more conducive to accurately grasp the characteristics of the Chinese population's reproduction。Current，The most significant characteristic of the Chinese population change in Malaysia is the decline in the proportion of the total population。Compared with the early days of the founding of Malaysia，At present, the proportion of Chinese people in the country has decreased by nearly half，It is the country with the fastest proportion of Chinese people in Southeast Asia.。Enter the 21st century，Local Chinese communities have begun to pay close attention to the problem of rapid decline in the proportion of Chinese population，and report through media reports、Academic Discussion and other methods call on people to pay attention to and actively respond to future population challenges。In fact，The core element that affects the current proportion of Chinese population and future development trends of Malaysia is the cycle law of population reproduction，That is the population change cycle。

Time of duration of the macro population data of multiple countries through research and analysis，Scholars have proposed the theory of population transformation (Demographic Transition theory)，Used to discuss and study the natural growth rate of a country or region and the connection between the population of population and the level of social and economic development at different periods。Population change theory is a height summary of the changes in the type of population of population，This theory believes that population reproduction is a high mortality rate、High -level high -level population equilibrium to low mortality、Low fertility low -level low -level population balance transition process。In this process，Because people's living conditions and medical conditions have been improved，Death rate decrease，Per capita life expectancy increases。But at the same time，The bet365 Play online games birth rate maintains the original state or even increases，leading to rapid population growth，Also known as "population expansion" or "population explosion"。The phenomenon of a decrease in this fertility rate is far lower than the mortality rate.。With the development of society and economy，The traditional fertility concept of "Early Marriage and Breeding" is gradually diluted，The rapid development of urbanization and the improvement of women's labor participation rate and social and economic status to further consolidate the change of fertility，The fertility rate begins to decline，Gradually dropped to the below of the population more。Population reproduction process enters the low fertility rate、Low -level equilibrium status marked by low mortality and low natural growth rate，Population growth rate decreases，The population number has gradually stabilized。

The theory of population transformation is also applicable to description of the Malaysian population reproduction process。Compared to a single population change，Multi -ethnic characteristics determine that the population transformation of Malaysia is special。Population reproduction is deeply planted under the socio -economic background，Education、Income、The existence of ethnic differences in occupation and other aspects，As a result, the population transition process of Malaysia exists different steps between ethnic groups。According to the theory of population transformation，The decline in mortality is an important sign of the population change。Decreased mortality starts with groups with higher social status。Benefiting from the development of medical care and improvement of living standards，The death of various ethnic groups in Malaysia in the middle and late 20th century achieved a significant decline in the first place，Start entering the population transformation process bet365 best casino games in turn。But due to the change in the changes in the population of each ethnic group，Lead the fertility rate of the same period、Mortality and natural growth rates have large ethnic differences。The decline in the proportion of the Chinese population accounts for the total population is a reflection of different steps of population transformation。

Due to the relatively high education level and socio -economic status，The population of the Chinese Malaysia has changed earlier than other ethnic groups。In the initial stage of this transformation，The mortality rate of the Chinese population and the mortality rate of infants and young children fell to the lowest level of various ethnic groups in Malaysia，The average life expectancy is much higher than other ethnic groups。At the same time，The fertility rate still remains high for a long time。and other ethnic groups (Malay、Indians) High mortality、Compared with the fertility rate，The natural growth rate of the Chinese population increases，increased its proportion of its total population in Malaysia。After 1957, other Malaysian population began to enter the early stage of population transformation，Death rate decrease，Keep the fertility rate at a high level。The fertility rate of the Chinese population at the same time is reduced to the level of population more，The mortality rate remains low，The natural growth rate gradually decreases，The proportion of Chinese population in Malaysia began to decline。After the 1970s, began to show a rapid decline，from 36%in 1970 to 21.4%in 2015。Compared with other Malaysian ethnic groups，The earliest Chinese presented a low fertility rate、Low mortality and low natural growth rate population characteristics，The annual growth rate of the population is less than 1%，Completed the population change。At the same time, it is still in the process of population transformation，High fertility rate、The proportion of Malays with a low mortality rate rose to 68.4%。The bet365 live casino games total fertility rate of Chinese Malaysian Chinese in 1970 is about 4.6，After 2000, it has fallen to the population replacement level (2.1)。until 2013，The total fertility rate of the Chinese population is still at the lowest position among all Malaysian population，is 1.4，far below the Malay in the same period (2.6)。

　The changes in the population of the Chinese have important realistic impacts

International experience of population transformation，Malaysians who take the lead in completing the population change will continue to maintain a low fertility rate in the future、Low -growth situation，In the future, the proportion of Chinese marriage age and total population in Malaysia will continue to decline。But the development trend of low -growth population does not mean that the proportion of the Chinese population in Malaysia will fall quickly。The main reason for the rapid decline in the proportion of the Chinese population in the past 20 years is the different steps of the population transformation of various ethnic groups in Malaysia，Social and economic differences with all ethnic groups in Malaysia，The fertility rate of other ethnic groups decreases and gradually completes the population transformation，The difference between the population fertility rate and population structure of the Chinese and other ethnic groups will tend to shrink，The proportion of the Chinese population in the future will not appear rapidly again。Population prediction results show，As of 2040, the proportion of Chinese people in Malaysia will slowly drop from about 22%in 2015 to about 20%。

Compared to the population number，In the future, the changes in the age structure of the Chinese population of Malaysia are even more noticeable。The aging of the Chinese population will be an important problem facing the Chinese ethnic group Malaysia in the future。Because it has the highest expected life span，Chinese have been the most aging ethnic group in Malaysia for a long time。In the future，Chinese Malaysia will enter the fast aging period，The speed of aging will be much higher than other ethnic groups。The Bet365 app download proportion of population over the age of 65 in Malaysia will increase from about 10%in 2015 to about 22%in 2040。other，Due to the decline in the proportion of the Chinese future marriage and childbirth age, the proportion may decrease faster，The improvement of fertility rate on slowing down the rapid aging trend of population is less。

Although the population change in Malaysia is an inevitable phenomenon of population change，But the decline in the proportion of the Chinese population and the actual impact of population aging on Malaysian society cannot be ignored。The reduction of population proportion will weaken the right to speak in Malaysia in Malaysia，Fast aging will reduce the social and political participation of Chinese people，Then a negative impact on the status of Chinese ethnic groups in Malaysia。Chinese are still an important force that affects Malaysia's social and political。Study the comprehensive impact of changes in the population of Chinese people on Malaysia's politics and society，will have very important practical significance。

Due to many historical reasons and population statistics、Different country differences in the caliber，Some Chinese people live in the country and region lack accurate statistics to the Chinese population，Therefore, it is estimated that the population of overseas Chinese is more difficult。Chinese in Southeast Asia are in the occupation、Education、Revenue and other aspects have strong similarity，The proportion of the country's country's population will also be affected by the differences between the population transition process.，Therefore, it can be said，Malaysia's population changes are important for estimating the population size of overseas Chinese in the future。Multiple disciplines such as comprehensive population science，Science of overseas Chinese population、Accurate estimation will be an important research topic in the future。

(This article is a special project "Malaysian Chinese population change trend Bet365 lotto review and fertility willingness research" (HQHRZD2015-05) phase results)

(Author Unit: Chinese College of Chinese University of Overseas Chinese University; School of Philosophy and Social Development of Overseas Chinese University)