It has developed from the rise before and after World War II,International relations and diplomatic research of political psychology paths,I have experienced personality research、Cognitive research and emotional research three stages,Its research methods have the characteristics of international relations and psychology research。First,Due to the non -contact of the research object,Related psychological quantification and experimental methods cannot be directly operated。Therefore,Indirect long -distance research methods are more popular,For example, text analysis、Expert survey data analysis、Traditional psychoanalysis, etc. become mainstream methodology。Next,Traditional cases and its comparative analysis,How to verify the mainstream experience。Due to the non -contact of the research object、Political and psychological variables are competitive variables such as mainstream systems such as mainstream systems,Politics methods for comparative case design are more commonly used,This is actually a qualitative comparative design。again,Cause and effect of political and psychological variables,You need to use a more detailed process tracking method for analysis。Last,Early method is case analysis、Comparison analysis,combined with the history of diplomatic、Decision History,Comprehensive case verification in the near future、Experimental assumptions refine、Quantitative analysis and other multiple methods。In view of this,With the use of multiple methods of bet365 Play online games International Political psychology,In the future, there should be more comprehensive research methods in the domestic academic community,So scientific that is Bet365 app download conducive to theoretical innovation、Power of accuracy and enhanced logical induction and verification。The qualitative method is still the mainstream of the theoretical innovation of international political psychology,For example, Robert Jervis, the most well -known cognitive genre, is the representative of the traditional qualitative method。Represents the 2017 Special Publication of "International Organization" (IO) magazine,The latest cutting -edge focus on leaders、Public behavior decision preference analysis,The trend of the use of diversification and comprehensive methods today,It shows the mutual supplement of the concentration and quantitative in the micro theory。
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The uniqueness of the theory of bet365 Play online games International Political psychology is to emphasize leaders、The political influence of the psychological variables of political elite,But due to the indigo of the psychological variables of the leader、Do not observe directly,Description analysis of the psychological elements and types of leaders,Need to combine qualitative logic abstraction、Classification and other thinking processes,The most basic conceptualization、Type Design,Analysis of quantitative text content、Code conversion and other technical operations。Conceptualization of political psychological variables、Variable,To a large extent requires the connotation of the facts、Abstract of essential attributes,Make a specific type of different types at the same time,For example, the personality type of the leader is a classification from qualitative classification to the personality characteristics。Policy preference,Policy preference、Analysis of the belief system,also need text data refinement。Quantitative text content analysis combined with qualitative type identification,It can more accurately distinguish the type of leader,Support for technical methods。
The personality characteristics bet365 live casino games of the leader、Cognitive style、Emotional Mode and other internal psychological variables,It can be used as an independent variable that affects political consequences,It can also be used as a variable variable as an important part of political phenomena,How to accurately describe this unique micro -psychological facts,is the first task of bet365 Play online games International Political psychology research。The indigo of the psychological variable,Determined to take more scientific data acquisition。Many political psychology scholars have developed their own text encoding methods,This method based on text test,It is not a self -report quantity table tested by ordinary people in the personality psychology,The transformation of political indicators and the "long -distance" technical operation of data acquisition methods。In the background of the big data era,Analyze the data sources of the political and psychological characteristics of leaders more diverse,If public speech、Government text、Network data, etc. available data。
Observe and refine the laws of international political psychology
Refine the corresponding bet365 Play online games International Political psychological laws from international political and diplomatic phenomena,It is a process of forming research assumptions for specific research issues。For example, the typical induction method of a single case,General development and abstraction from typical or heterogeneous cases,Of course,This also requires comparative analysis in the overall case。In the study of international political psychology,Classic or heterogeneous single case research has become an important breakthrough point for theoretical innovation。The most classic American president personality research,It is the spiritual analysis of the spiritual analysis of the single case spiritual analysis by Alexander George and Juliette George on former US President Wilson,Summarize Wilson's unique personality characteristics,is flexible and changing when pursuing power,Rigid stubbornness bet365 Play online games when using power,All originated from the relationship between Wilson's growth and father。This personality traits run through the different periods of Wilson's life,For example, as the president of Princeton University、US Presidential period。Social psychological research on presidential decision -making,Also analyzes related classic failure cases,For example, Cuba's Pig Bay defeat case,Promoting scholars' team decision psychology。
It is difficult to obtain quantitative technologies such as leaders' strategic behavior through experimental survey,So generally speaking,The existing mainstream research is through experiment surveys of college students or more broad people,Get in presets of behavioral physical limited rationality,How to deal with international politics、hypothesis of foreign issues。Experimental experiments of behavioral decision -making psychology,It can promote the strategic decision characteristics of leaders。Therefore,Strategic decision -making and behavioral psychological experiments at the general public level,It helps understand the decision preferences and psychological mechanisms of leaders under the pressure of internal and external pressures,Make up the qualitative method from the case phenomenon to refine the deficiency of the corresponding hypothesis,For example, it is difficult to observe the decision -making psychology directly、Micro variables and functions of the Strategic Interactive Center,and it is not easy to exclude other more macro、The effect of material variables。Therefore,Typical or heterogeneous leaders、Decision -making cases are the induction path of bet365 Play online games International Political psychology theory innovation,Based on college students、Online decision -making and interactive experiments,Is the analog path of the new holiday source in theoretical innovation。These two paths can be supplemented with each other,complement each other。
Multi -method design in theoretical test
bet365 Play online games International Political Psychology pays attention to exploring how political psychological elements affect national relations、diplomatic behavior, etc.,Foreign Decisions、The verification method of strategic behavior and the psychological law of interaction is as follows。First,Traditional case analysis methods through a detailed historical process description,Tracking related psychological elements how to produce causal effects on international political strategic consequences,You can observe the mechanism of its influence。This generally requires more fine cases to compare the design to control the competitive variables,and follow the process tracking according to the more informative historical details,Reveal the process and node of the cause and effect mechanism。Next,The quantitative method is based on the general basis of the samples corresponding to the dependent variables,Verifying its average causal effect requires richer cross -case samples。When the relevant sample data set is available,Binding of quantitative analysis operation and qualitative logic identification,At the same time, combined with detailed historical process tracking,It can enrich and improve the intensity of causal argument。
Take the endogenousness of preventing causal effects as an example,If you explore the causal effects signed by the head of the head of the head of the head (or the relationship between political emotions and contact assumptions),Among them, there may be endogenous。The processing method of qualitative research is,Analysis of the Diplomacy Process of relevant important cases,Explore the specific causality process of the two,Especially the time to identify the two is the problem of the two,This needs to be rich、authoritative and accurate first -hand information。Or convert endogenous problems into possible missing real cause variables,Then explore the real reasons behind it。The bet365 Play online games treatment of quantitative research is,Choose more objective tool variables,Analysis of the causal effects of the variable of tool variables for the head of the independent variable,But it does not have a substantial causal effect on the cooperation between the variables。Take a comprehensive,Effective comprehensive use of quantitative and qualitative methods can enhance the strength of causal argument。Different research issues due to the basis of qualitative and quantitative verification,Especially for the overall size of the sample size of specific data,Whether to comprehensively use quantitative and qualitative verification methods in specific research,What specific strategies and technology are adopted,Determination of the characteristics of research issues and theoretical hypotheses。
Due to the indigo of the political and psychological variables,Research on bet365 Play online games International Political psychology requires quantitative technology involvement,can more accurately describe and explain the facts。When the political effects of the psychological variables at the micro level,The advantage of qualitative analysis is,It can carefully track and verify the process of causality。and stricter comparison design and suitable quantitative analysis operation,Cause and effect that helps international political psychology is more clear、Audit and powerful manifestation。In view of this,Effective comprehensive use of traditional conceptual logic theory、Case Design、Experimental Survey、Text analysis and other methods,Can better promote the innovation of international political micro theory and its logic exquisite、Self -Trust,This is also the reality and trend of the comprehensive use of international political psychology in the European and American circles。Current,In China International Relations,,Political Psychological Research Paths still use traditional qualitative analysis such as case research、Logical induction method is mainly,Related bet365 Play online games text analysis、Experimental design, etc., also has certain development。Take a comprehensive,Future theoretical innovation comprehensively comprehensively study and explain the facts of various research methods,Is a necessary method for theoretical innovation,It is also a basic requirement with the consciousness of consciousness with the multi -research method of international relations.。
(The author is a professor at the School of International Relations of Renmin University of China)
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