Current,The world is in a big change in a hundred years,The global epidemic situation is still unstable。Division of the Party Central Committee,Proposal to speed up the construction of a large domestic cycle as the main body、New development pattern of mutual promotion of domestic and international dual cycles。In this background,China Social Science Press launched the book "Analysis of Path to Promote the High -quality Economic Growth of China" in August 2020,The book is based on the research paradigm of specified analysis,Following the path of "asking questions -explanation problems -solving problems",Try to explore the evolution of China's economic growth in the context of the new normal。
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The author summarizes,"Twelfth Five -Year Plan" has begun to this day,China's economy has appeared in the following features: obvious economic growth rate reduction,shifting trend has been formed; the proportion of service industry in GDP surpasses the proportion of the second industry;,Resident savings rate is turning to turning; the leading role of innovation has not yet appeared; economic uncertainty caused diversification of risks,The task of achieving high -quality development is even more difficult。For these facts,The author uses Xi Jinping's new era of socialist ideology with Chinese characteristics to analyze the quality of China's economic growth,Try to propose a operable countermeasure suggestion。bet365 best casino games For example,Economic laws that conform to high -quality development,Improve the potential and toughness of economic development; re -examine the interconnection of various risks,Effectively prevent cross -transmission of risks in different fields; accelerate the development of an open economy,Promote the formation of a new pattern of comprehensive openness; accelerate the cultivation of new momentum of economic growth,Stimulate the vitality of macroeconomic operation; continuously innovate and improve macro -control,Focus on improving the economic governance ability of the new era。
The book boldly predicts the several scenarios of the quality of economic growth in China and the United States。Author speculation,2035,China's GDP scale will be 1.3 times the United States in the same period,Per capita GDP is 0.3 times the United States in the same period,ranking 51st in the world,Equivalent to the current Poland、Hungary and other countries and regions of countries and regions in the world internationally; the global innovation index is ranked 10th in the world。to 2050,China's GDP scale will be 1.7 times the United States in the same period,Per capita GDP is 0.5 times the United States in the same period,ranking 37th in the world,Equivalent to the current Korea、Slovenia and other countries internationally level internationally; the global innovation index is ranked 8th in the world,A considerable number of areas have entered and run with the United States,Even the leading stage。The author emphasizes,In the future, Sino -US competitive relationship is the most important factor in uncertainty。bet365 Play online games On the one hand,China needs to improve independent innovation ability,Negative effects of hedging through reform and opening up,Realize the goal of the new era formulated by the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China; on the other hand,,Sino -US cooperation development will obviously help to achieve the goal of struggle in the new era,to speed up China's modern construction process。
Accelerate the development of an open economy
Facing the future of China's open definition and uncertainty coexistence、Opportunities and challenges The external environment,Author's suggestion,On the one hand,Need to improve the overseas investment legal system,Effective management and control of foreign investment risk。Specifically including the improvement of the law and fiscal and taxation system that supports my country ’s overseas investment,Strengthen the prevention and response of foreign investment risks,Correctly guide enterprise overseas investment direction,Avoid enterprise blind investment。On the other hand,To accelerate the development of an open economy,Promote the formation of a new pattern of comprehensive opening up。Specifically including the "Belt and Road" initiative as an opportunity,Construct a high -level free trade zone network system; strengthen bilateral and multilateral regional trade cooperation,Opposition to trade protectionism; accurately grasp the new connotation and new trend of global development,Focus on the new global economic pattern of diversified cooperation; change the change of international economic and trade rules,bet365 live casino games Accelerate "introduction" and "going global"。
The results of the research found that compared with the planned economy period,The fluctuation of the growth rate of TFP (full factor productivity) after reform and opening up is more stable,presents the characteristics of the regional characteristics of the east height and the dynamic evolution characteristics of the low and backward height;,Obviously weakened in the reform and opening up stage (2012-2018),Innovation -driven features have gradually emerged; in the eastern region, the disappearance of the demarcation of the population in the eastern region is more obvious; technical efficiency improvement and technological progress,The main factor to promote the growth of TFP growth in the eastern region,Technical progress is the only driving force for TFP growth in the western region。The author thinks,The Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has a leading and demonstration effect on China's achievement of high -quality development goals,In the future, promote the high -quality development of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration,Need to respect economic laws,Comprehensive consideration of the strength of development quality、Effective、Stability、Coordination、persistent、Based on tolerance,It is necessary to maintain the progressiveness of the overall development of the city agglomeration,Pay attention to the synergy of promoting high -quality development; we must also grasp the differences in the development of the urban agglomeration,Pay attention to the hierarchical level of promoting high -quality development,To bet365 best casino games achieve overall and local comprehensive advancement。Specifically,First, actively promote the overall breakthrough development of urban agglomerations,Second, to accelerate the development of urban agglomeration central cities,Third is to steadily promote the integration and development of cities with relatively developed cities in urban agglomerations,Fourth is to strive to promote the development of urban groups behind the city's characteristics。
Deep understanding of the connotation of high -quality economic development
The Fifth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China proposed that during the "14th Five -Year Plan" period, the theme should be promoted to promote high -quality development,The main line is based on deepening supply -side structural reforms,Taking reform and innovation as the fundamental motivation,The fundamental purpose is to meet the needs of the people's growing good life,Coordinated development and safety,Accelerate the construction of a modern economic system,Accelerate the construction of a large domestic cycle as the main body、New development pattern of mutual promotion of domestic and international dual cycles。Obviously,Interpretation of the connotation of high -quality development in the new development pattern,Need to start with a deep understanding of the high -quality development of the economy。The book comprehensively uses the new positioning and new normal of economic high -quality development、New Era China New Explanation,Research on the measurement and situation analysis of China's economic growth quality under the new normal; use the new assertion of new development concepts,Research on the mechanism of China's economic quality Bet365 app download evolution under the background of the new normal; use the new opinions of the economic system reform,Study path dependencies for promoting high -quality economic development、Scenario impact; use new assertions in the relationship between market and government relationship,Study the construction of a policy system for the high -quality development of China's economy under the background of the new normal situation。
In recent years,Many provinces and regions across the country are in the "Thirteenth Five -Year Plan" comprehensive planning and professional plan,The industrial value added rate has been used as an evaluation、One of the important indicators of monitoring and predicting the quality of economic growth。The author thinks,Pay attention to conditions in actual operation,It is necessary to measure and capital depreciation rate、Population growth rate and savings rate related to macroeconomic indicators related to the added value threshold of the value added rate,Can be calculated with a comprehensive GDP、TFP calculation、Measurement of the added value,Reflects the quality of China's economic growth、Dynamics and structural evolution trends。
In short,This book combed the new normal from the perspective of scientific theory、Economic growth quality、New Era、High -quality development and other core concepts and logical relationships between each other,These are the theories that enrich the theory of socialist political and economics with Chinese characteristics、Explore the establishment of China's macroeconomics,provided a typical case of system。
(Author Unit: Institute of Quantitative Economics and Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
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