In recent years,The vocational-to-popular ratio of high school bet with bet365 shows an overall downward trend。The "National Vocational bet with bet365 Reform Implementation Plan" issued in 2019 (Guofa [2019] No. 4) emphasizes "optimizing the educational structure,Consider the development of secondary vocational bet with bet365 as an important foundation for popularizing high school bet with bet365 and building a vocational bet with bet365 system with Chinese characteristics,Maintain high school bet with bet365 vocational bet with bet365 ratio is roughly the same”。High school bet with bet365 “vocational bet with bet365 ratio”,As the name suggests, it is the ratio of the number of secondary vocational students in high school bet with bet365 to the number of ordinary high school students,The specific number can be compared with the number of students in school,You can also use the enrollment number to compare。In the current situation where the scale of secondary vocational bet with bet365 continues to shrink,The "vocational-to-population ratio" can show the multiple of the student population of secondary vocational schools compared to the student population of ordinary high schools,If this multiple (i.e. "job-to-population ratio") is larger (closer to 1),It means that the job ratio is closer to "roughly equal",The smaller the multiple, the farther away the employment ratio is from "roughly equal"。Therefore, in the context of the continuous decline in the ratio of high school bet with bet365 to vocational bet with bet365 in recent years,It is necessary to review and evaluate the "roughly equivalent" implementation of the CPS ratio since the 21st century,Help localities find problems,And improve it。
The job-to-population ratio has been declining year by year in recent years,Has dropped below 0.6 interval。The national employment index has experienced wave-shaped changes since entering the new century,0 from 2000.869 dropped sharply to 0 in 2002.616,Slowly rise to 0 in 2010.922,Started to decline slowly after that,It has dropped to 0 by 2015 and later.6—0.between 7,By 2018, the job-to-population ratio will be only 0.655,The instant-employment ratio is slightly less than 2:3,This is quite different from the requirement that the bet with bet365 vocational bet with bet365 ratio in high school is roughly the same。More provinces in the central and western regions have job-to-population ratios falling to 0.range below 6,Most of them are in central and northwest provinces。And the job-to-pop ratio is lower than 0.6 provinces increased to 11-13 from 2015 to 2018,By 2016-2018, the job-to-population ratio will be lower than 0.The number of provinces in 5 reaches 5 respectively、6、6。
Beijing in the early years、Tianjin、Shanghai、Chongqing、Yunnan and other provinces and cities have higher employment-to-census ratios,Now give way to Guangxi、Jiangsu、Guangdong、Zhejiang、Hainan;Qinghai, which was at a lower position in the early years、Xinjiang,Now give way to Inner Mongolia、Heilongjiang,And Jilin、Gansu、Tibet always ranks lower in more years,Tibet has been the province with the lowest employment-to-census ratio for 13 years。Compared with the rankings of provincial job ratios at the peak of 2010,As of 2018, 17 provinces have moved backward in the ranking of high school bet with bet365 vocational bet with bet365 ratio,Qinghai is moved back by more than or equal to 10 places、Beijing、Jiangxi,The job-to-population ratio fell from a higher value to a lower value faster;There are 12 provinces that have moved forward in ranking,Among them, Jiangsu is moved forward by more than (including equal to) 10 digits、Xinjiang、Tianjin、Zhejiang、Anhui,The job ratio quickly climbed from a relatively low value to a high value。
In terms of regional differences,Zhipubi has been experiencing "central collapse" for ten years,Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai are higher than the larger range in the east,Down to 2010 and already lower than the eastern region,Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and the eastern region are both higher than the national average,The western and central regions are always lower than the national average。The job ratios of the three cities of Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai are 0 of the eight eastern bet with bet36589—1.61 times,is 1 from the twelve western bet with bet36504—1.91 times,Is 1 of the eight bet with bet365 in central China.06—1.93 times,The twelve western bet with bet365 are 0 of the eight central bet with bet36591—1.08 times。
The job-to-population ratio does not necessarily decline significantly with the improvement of economic development。The only province with such a clear negative relationship is Tianjin、Beijing、Shanxi、Liaoning、Chongqing、Shanghai、Zhejiang,The marginal decreases are sorted from high to low in the order mentioned above。And Qinghai、Anhui、Hainan、Xinjiang、Guangxi、Jiangsu’s employment-to-census ratio has a significant positive relationship with its economic development level,That is, the employment-to-population ratio of these six provinces will increase accordingly as their economic development levels increase,The marginal increase is sorted from high to low in the order mentioned above。Qinghai、Anhui、Hainan、Xinjiang、These five provinces in Guangxi have better adjusted the structure of high school bet with bet365,Cultivated and reserved sufficient talents with secondary vocational skills,In the gradient transfer of the country's overall industry, economic catch-up development has been achieved。
,With the strong intervention of increasing the enrollment ratio of secondary vocational schools,There will be a rebound。For example, after the promulgation of the “Decision of the State Council on Vigorously Developing Vocational bet with bet365” (Guofa [2005] No. 35) in 2005,The job-to-population ratios in all provinces have seen a significant recovery。Popular ratio for personal research and judgment fell to a relatively low level again,As of 2002 0.616 level (based on the average decline in recent years,In 2020-2021, it is estimated that the job-to-population ratio will drop again to the historical low level in 2002),The country should once again issue policy documents that pay more attention to the development of vocational bet with bet365,It is estimated that the S&P ratio will stop falling and rebound again in 2021-2022。
In response to the above problems,Put forward the following policy suggestions。First,In the future, the bottom line for the implementation of the "roughly equivalent" policy of "employment-to-employment ratio" in high school bet with bet365 should be determined to be 0..Level 7 and above。Is there a greatest common denominator for the job-to-population ratios of each province in the past 19 years,That is, the lowest value of the job-to-population ratio that can be achieved in most provinces in most years,To guide the selection of the minimum value of the employment-to-census ratio in the future and to supervise each province to adhere to the bottom-line requirements of the employment-to-census ratio。Looking back on the 19 years from 2000 to 2018,In 10 years, more than half of the provinces in the country (between 16-27) have reached this standard。Therefore,The bottom line for the national average job-to-census ratio to be “roughly equivalent” is 0.Level 7 and above,This standard can be achieved by most provinces in the next few years through hard work。And for those whose job-to-population ratio is lower than the national average,Provinces with particularly low values,Through hard work, the career ratio can reach 0.5’s,equivalent to a job-to-population ratio of 33.33%:66.67%,That is, 1 secondary vocational student compared to 2 ordinary high school students,The current job-to-population ratio has dropped to 0.3—0.4 provinces can be easily achieved through several years of hard work。
Second,Strong faith,Adhere to the "roughly equivalent" policy of the job ratio,Governments at all levels must strengthen supervision and implementation,If possible, it should be included in the leadership assessment indicators at the municipal bet with bet365 bureau level or school level。Some provinces have included the “roughly equivalent” job-to-population ratio into the leadership assessment indicators at the municipal bet with bet365 bureau level or school level,Strengthen the macro-control and decomposition and implementation of the high school bet with bet365 enrollment plan,For example, every year in Jiangsu Province, the Provincial Department of bet with bet365 and the Provincial Development and Reform Commission issue the high school enrollment plan for that year based on the principle of "roughly equivalent" to the job-based census ratio,Focus on the low enrollment rate of junior high school graduates、The proportion of vocational bet with bet365 in high school bet with bet365 is low, “two lows” city and county enrollment。
Third,Open vocational enlightenment bet with bet365 courses in upper grades of primary schools and junior high schools as soon as possible,Activities to enrich professional cognition and feelings,Enhance students and parents’ recognition of vocational bet with bet365。If you blindly meet the needs of students to go to higher bet with bet365,Students cannot get into the university they want,Employed and no vocational skills,Nothing less than a blank check,It is not beneficial to society or the individual candidates。current,A complete vocational bet with bet365 system is in place,Zhongzongzhongzhongzhongzhongzhongzhongzhongzongzhongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzongzhongzongzongzhongzongzhongzongzhongzongzhongzongzhongzhongzhongzhongzhongzhongzhongzongzongzongzongzongzong、Higher vocational bet with bet365 to vocational and technical university (or applied undergraduate),Even to a professional master's degree、Doctor,A relatively complete vocational bet with bet365 system has been established,Those with poor grades in ordinary high schools、Can’t keep up,Not suitable for general bet with bet365 students either,Instead of being discriminated against,It is better to receive an bet with bet365 that is more suitable for you earlier,Develop your own hands-on skills,Increase career adaptability,In short, suitable bet with bet365 is the best bet with bet365。Therefore,Primary and secondary schools should be encouraged to offer relevant vocational enlightenment bet with bet365 courses in addition to joint vocational schools,You can also invite outstanding representative industry executives or technicians to come to the school for lectures and exchanges,Invite outstanding graduate alumni and parents of outstanding students from all walks of life to come to the school to explain and analyze specific careers and positions,Send students from our school to relevant training bases (centers/enterprises) to increase students’ practical practice and experience,Take our students to excellent companies to visit and study, etc.,With rich courses、Lectures and career experience activities,Establish a simple sentiment among primary and secondary school students and their parents that there is no hierarchy in careers,Eliminate the discriminatory concepts of students and parents against vocational bet with bet365 in primary and secondary schools as early as possible。
Fourth,Provinces with particularly low supervisory ratios,It is necessary to list the enrollment ratio of secondary vocational schools at least 50% in schools in provinces with particularly low vocational bet with bet365 ratio、Annual assessment indicators of bet with bet365 authorities and local governments,And strictly supervise and implement it,And hold accountable。In view of the current situation that the bet with bet365 vocational bet with bet365 population at the high school level is quite low compared with the central and western regions,Especially since the S&P ratio has fallen below 0.6 interval,Enter 0.5 interval,Even dropped to 0.4、0.Provinces in 3 intervals,We need to make great efforts to expand the enrollment ratio of secondary vocational schools,And this depends largely on supervision and accountability。
(This article is a phased result of the National Social Science Fund Project "Research on the Universalization of High School Popularization and the Coordinated Development of General Vocational bet with bet365 in the 'Three Prefectures' Region" (18BMZ076)
(Author’s unit: Hainan Normal University School of bet with bet365)
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