bet365 best casino games_。Although there have been

Home>Journal of China Social Sciences>Special plan>Special planning content

New artificial intelligence on the potential impact of the economy

00:54, April 03, 2020 Source: "Chinese Social Sciences", April 3, 2020, 1900th, 1900th author: Cai Yuezhou

　　Since the Dartmouth Conference in 1956，Artificial intelligence technology has gone through more than 60 years of development.。Although there have been several research booms in the middle of it，But artificial intelligence until 2016 after "Alpha Dog War Li Shishi" really entered the vision of the public，2016 is also called "the first year of the first year of commercial intelligence"。Artificial intelligence only entered the commercialization application 60 years after the concept was proposed，The most fundamental reason may be，The technical principles of artificial intelligence and the implementation pathway have undergone fundamental changes after several reincarnation of the orgasm。Zhu Songchun, a professor of statistics and computer science at the University of California Los Angeles, believes，The implementation of artificial intelligence in the first 30 years is mainly based on mathematical logic expression and reasoning，After 30 years of probability, it is based on the probability of modeling、(Machine) Learning, etc.。This means from the perspective of the technical route，Artificial intelligence in the two stages of the two stages belongs to two different technologies，May wish to refer to it "Old Artificial Intelligence Technology" and "New Artificial Intelligence Technology"。

　　Promote the high -quality growth of the macroeconomic economy

　　Current，New artificial intelligence technology can accelerate the application stage of large -scale commercialization，The key is that its technical route is in line with the trend of the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial change after the global financial crisis in 2008。In the past 10 years，(Mobile) Internet as the core of this round of technology revolution technology、Big Data、Cloud computing、3G/4G/5G communication and other new generation of information technology rapid iteration and realize bet365 live casino games commercialization applications，Make data information in production、Storage、Treatment、Analysis、Transmission and other different links occur all -round、Revolutionary changes。From the perspective of technical implementation，Data、Algorithm、Computing power is the cornerstone of new artificial intelligence technology; therefore，New artificial intelligence technology can be regarded as a (integrated) information technology，It is an important part of the new generation of information technology。Large -scale commercialization of new artificial intelligence technology，Economic and social development organization model will have deeply changed。

　　New artificial intelligence technology as a new generation of information technology，It has permeability、alternative、Coordination、Creativity and other technologies -economic characteristics。These features make the new artificial intelligence technology have a broad application prospect，and can support it through factor support、Efficiency improvement、Knowledge creation and other methods to promote high -quality growth in macroeconomics。

　　The permeability is a technology that can be available with various industries in the economy and society、The merger of each aspect of the production and life brings a potential for changing the way of economic operation (bresnahan、Trajtenberg，1995），It is also the new artificial intelligence as a general purpose technology (General Purpose Technology, GPT) The basic features are expected to have a wide range of influence on the economy and society。Alternativeness refers to the elements of the new artificial intelligence technology materialization into a specific form.，Can replace other factors to play a supporting role in the production process。The replacement of new artificial intelligence technology is not only manifested as an alternative to capital element (including non -ICT capital and other ICT capitals)，It also includes direct alternative to labor elements。Coordination more refers to the application of the application of new artificial intelligence technology in the production process that can enhance the degree of coordination between other factors，Reduce friction cost，to improve operational efficiency。Bet365 lotto review Coordination is also the technical characteristics of many other ICTs -economic characteristics。Creativity refers to the positive role played by new artificial intelligence technology in terms of knowledge creation。In biomedicine、Material Science、Quantum physics and other fields，R & D process has the characteristics of "sea fishing needle"，Although it can determine that innovation exists in some useful combination of existing knowledge，But the use of useful knowledge is wide and complex，It is not easy to find out a specific effective combination; and the breakthrough progress of new artificial intelligence technology，This enables researchers to greatly improve recognition efficiency，Shorten the time to find the most valuable combination。

　　Another，New artificial intelligence technology is also a highly integrated information technology，Involved in big data、Cloud computing and other new generation of information technology，With a long industrial chain。The large -scale promotion and application of new artificial intelligence technology will inevitably trigger cluster formula for technical products in all links of the industrial chain、explosive growth，This is expected，Sustainable growth of the macroeconomic、Structure optimization provides strong support。

　　Bring major structural changes in employment distribution

　　The widely used application of new artificial intelligence technology to promote economic growth will also bring major structural changes in employment and distribution。New artificial intelligence technology replacement of labor elements，Especially for alternative to human intelligence，It makes the social labor and employment market inevitably impact。From the historical experience of technological progress and automation process evolution since the Industrial Revolution，The major technological revolution is eliminated while eliminating the existing employment position，often create new positions (such as machine replacement of hand -operated jobs while derivating new positions such as machine maintenance)，In the end, a new balance will be reached in the total amount of job posts，But structural changes are unavoidable。New artificial intelligence technology can have a certain degree of alternative to the bet365 best casino games original intellectual activity of the original human beings，So，Its influence mechanism for employment structure will be more complicated than ever。

　　On the one hand，Since the new artificial intelligence can replace people's intellectual activities to a certain extent，Many positions that originally needed a certain professional knowledge or technical background may be the first to be replaced，For example，Manuscript Robot、Robot legal assistant, etc., can already be competent for simple news releases、Legal consultation and other work。On the other hand，New artificial intelligence technology currently belongs to weak artificial intelligence，The replacement of human intellectual activities is generally very limited，In many cases, new artificial intelligence technology is more of the role of assisting decisions，This will derive a large number of new posts with human -machine complementary characteristics。Based on the above mechanism，Automation process driven by the application of new artificial intelligence technology，job alternative and post creation will still coexist，Even in a certain period of time, it is expected to continue to achieve the general balance of total amount。

　　Of course，Changes in the employment structure may be largely different from the past。The previous automation process is a continuous alternative to the physical strength of the workers，A replaced position is more concentrated in the low -end simple labor; and the replacement of the part of the new artificial intelligence technology on the intellectual activity makes the middle -class white -collar position with considerable knowledge skills is also in a state of replacement。Once the middle -class white -collar post is replaced by artificial intelligence,，Then the revenue distribution structure of the whole society will show polarization trends。

　　New topics of expanding economics research

　　The large -scale commercialization of new artificial intelligence technology has also brought a lot of new topics to economic development。Political Economics、Growth Economics、Microeconomics、Income allocation、Innovative economics and many areas may need to carry out theoretical innovation in combination with new bet365 Play online games situations in economic and social practice。From the perspective of the existing application practice of new artificial intelligence technology today，The following aspects are particularly worthy of in -depth discussion。

　　The first is the richness and expansion of Marx's labor value theory。The replacement of new artificial intelligence technology, especially its alternative to labor elements，Requires us to combine the technology of new artificial intelligence technology (and products) -economic characteristics，Re -examine the essence of its connotation from the perspective of value creation，Provides new basis for enriching the theory of Marx's labor value。

　　Second, the infrastructure non -decreasing phenomenon and the expansion of the theory of growth based on the characteristics of data element characteristics。Data elements are the most important cornerstone of the new artificial intelligence technology，With non -competitiveness、Non -exclusive、zero cost replication and other features，Elements formed based on new artificial intelligence technology can eliminate the decreased marginal remuneration law followed by other traditional elements when they play a role in the production process，Add the mechanism of knowledge creation，All these are traditional neoclassical growth theory and endogenous growth theory without cover。

　　Third, the theory of income distribution is facing new challenges。The Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th Central Committee of the Party proposed "sound labor、Capital、Land、Knowledge、Technology、Management、Data and other production factors are contributed by market evaluation、Mechanism of Decisions Decided by Contribution "，Application of new artificial intelligence technology involves data、Knowledge、Capital and other elements，How to measure its contribution and determine its corresponding remuneration，will be a new problem facing the first theory of growth economics。And the future new artificial intelligence technology replacement effect can play a role of income gap in the income gap、A large number of unemployed persons' basic livelihoods and other problems，will put forward new challenges to the theory of redistribution。

　　Fourth is the expansion of innovative economics Bet365 lotto review theory。The application of new artificial intelligence technology will also bring reconstruction of the production organization model，With various new modes、The emergence of new phenomena，Innovative economics theory is also expected to be further expanded under more innovative practice。In addition，Deep machine learning behind the new artificial intelligence technology and existing measurement analysis of economics、Combination of cause and effect inference，It is expected to provide new quantitative analysis tools for economics research。

　　The rapid development of more than 40 years of reform and opening up，China's per capita GDP has exceeded $ 10,000，Super large -scale market advantages are accelerating release。In the past 10 years，It is the huge market space，We seized the important opportunity period of the development of the digital economy，In e -commerce、Platform economy、The advantages of gaining global and running or even leading in the fields of sharing economy。In the next 10 years，Our oversized market advantages will also provide strong support for the large -scale commercial application of new artificial intelligence technology，Then continue my country's new economy、Development advantage in the field of digital economy。Economics is the study of the use，Economic Theory originated from economic reality。Large -scale commercialization of new artificial intelligence technology，While promoting the high -quality development of my country's economy，It will be rich in the theoretical innovation of economics Chinese characteristics、Fresh practical material。

　　(This article is the Study on the Effects of Digital Economy on the Economic Development of the Economic Development of China (18AZD006)、The National Natural Science Foundation of China on the project "Research on the theory and Experience of the New Generation Information Technology Influence Growth Power and Industrial Structure" (71873144)、The National Natural Science Foundation major project "Macro Big Data Modeling and Forecast Research" (71991475) phased results)

　　(Author Unit: Institute of Quantitative Economics and Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

Editor in charge: Changchang